- Independiente have won two and drawn one of the last three head-to-head matchups in Liga Profesional 2025.
- Independiente have won their last 3 consecutive matches, including consecutive away wins over Gimnasia Mendoza.
- Sarmiento are winless in their last 3 meetings with Independiente, but have drawn their last 2 games and look to be a little more resilient under Javier Sanguinetti.
Stylistic contrast in styles may be a cagey affair
Neither side have claimed any points in Argentina’s Liga Profesional 2025, but Sarmiento sit at 26 and Independiente at 16 as they look to get the 2025 campaign up and running on Sunday. There’s no real rivalry between these two sides, but there is a clash of philosophies that may just make this one an intriguing game – our Sarmiento vs CA Independiente Avellaneda prediction focuses on Sarmiento’s pragmatic, defensive approach versus Independiente’s higher tempo, more creative approach.
Julio Vaccari has overseen an exciting rejuvenation of Independiente since June 2024, bringing an exciting, proactive approach rooted in quick transitions and dynamic attacking play. Independiente have won 4 of their last 5 in all competitions, losing just once, and have shown real clinical edge in recent weeks, racking up a 7-0 win over Nacional Potosi before consecutive away wins over Gimnasia Mendoza.
Vaccari’s impact has been unmistakable on this Independiente team in the weeks since he took over and their fluency in the final third has been apparent, with Santiago Gabriel Montiel in particular coming into his own, scoring 3 in his last 4 appearances. In terms of the Sarmiento vs CA Independiente Avellaneda odds, Sarmiento have a completely different philosophy, playing a slow, defence-first game with a 4-4-2 or 4-1-4-1 setup, depending on the opponent. They are a side who want to be compact and recover quickly when they lose the ball, and with the introduction of Javier Sanguinetti as manager in November 2024, there’s been a new emphasis on organisation and defensive structure. This Sarmiento vs CA Independiente Avellaneda preview explores the tactical battle that may define Sunday’s clash.
Independiente to make the most of their chances
There hasn’t been enough bite in the attacking third in their recent performances, however, and although they’ve won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 in all competitions, they haven’t looked dominant in any of their outings. Sanguinetti will want his men to be solid and disciplined, but they lack the star quality to really turn games in their favour and they’ve won just 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 home games, suggesting they’ve been vulnerable on their home turf.
Independiente are in fantastic form and have a good recent record against Sarmiento, so the visitors are the clear favorites to claim all 3 points, but the bookies are still offering an attractive -200 about them and a huge +750 about Sarmiento. Independiente have won their last 3 away games with no defeats in recent matches, so they’ll come into this game with confidence in their ability to beat Sarmiento. The hosts are a gritty underdog, so expect them to sit back and be stubborn, which means that the game could be low-scoring. This Sarmiento vs CA Independiente Avellaneda prediction is for under 2.5 goals, as this outcome is a big -178 and could well land given the scarcity of Sarmiento’s goals and lack of confidence in front of goal recently. Looking at Sarmiento vs CA Independiente Avellaneda betting tips, the defensive setup of the hosts may just keep the scoreline tight.
