- Ferro Carril Oeste have won four of their ten home league games, drawing four and losing two.
- Gimnasia y Tiro have won one of their last ten away league matches in Primera Nacional 2025 and are on a slight upward trajectory.
- The hosts are the narrow favorites here at +130, with the visitors on +210 and the draw +200.
Ferro and Gimnasia to square off in play-off battle
With just four points separating Ferro Carril Oeste and Gimnasia y Tiro in the Primera Nacional 2025, this Saturday’s clash could prove to be a key result for either club in their respective pursuits of a play-off place or mid-table safety. This match is shaping up to be one of the most intriguing in recent weeks, and our Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia y Tiro prediction highlights just how pivotal it might be.
The 12th-placed hosts have struggled to get out of mid-table in the second-tier division, collecting 24 points from their 20 matches so far. Their form has been mixed of late with Alfredo Grelak’s men not able to find any rhythm, registering one win, two draws and two defeats from their last five league matches.
They are coming into this game off the back of a 1-1 draw at Atletico Guemes, a 0-2 defeat at home to San Martin de Tucuman and a 1-1 away draw at Tristan Suarez, all of which have added to their mediocrity.
Grelak has installed a disciplined, structured and defensive identity at Ferro since taking over in December 2024, but the lack of a clinical finisher has been evident this season. Striker Franco Garcia, who leads the team with three Primera Nacional 2025 goals in 18 appearances, is a physical presence up top and provides an out ball for the defenders to build from.
Tight encounter expected when two good teams tussle
Gimnasia y Tiro will provide a different test to the majority of teams that Ferro have faced this term, with Fernando Quiroz’s side playing with an offensive mentality since he took over in January 2025. Looking at the Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia y Tiro preview, it is clear that both teams will try to impose their contrasting styles in this crucial encounter.
Gimnasia y Tiro have a dynamic team, allowing them to transition quickly from defense to attack, but they can get exposed at the back when they press too high up the field.
Gimnasia sit 7th in Primera Nacional 2025, having collected 28 points from 20 matches. Their away form is poor at 1-4-5.
A 1-0 loss at CA San Miguel was followed by a 1-0 win at home to Almagro, so they should not fear the visit to Ferro. The main goal threat for the club comes from Leandro Contin, who has five goals in 20 league appearances. Considering the Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia y Tiro prediction, this forward could be key for the visitors.
Betting on the Under option is the play
Both sides are well drilled and have a strong defensive base, so we’re taking the Under 2.5 Goals option for this clash between two decent teams that have slightly better things to do than play an entertaining game of soccer. Examining the Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia y Tiro odds, the Under 2.5 selection is well supported by recent stats. Ferro have scored just eight goals, an average of 0.80 per match, at home in the league this campaign, registering four wins, four draws and two losses.
Gimnasia average 0.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per away match, so they will also struggle to break through and this has the feel of a one-moment game that could be decided by an individual play. With all this in mind, our best Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia y Tiro betting tips focus on a low-scoring affair.