- Meizhou Hakka have failed to win or draw in their last five Super League 2025 fixtures or their last two at home.
- Tianjin Jinmen Tigers have won three of their previous five in the league.
Hakka in hot water
Meizhou Hakka are in a slump and Milan Ristic, their head coach since June 2024, has his work cut out to get them back on track. The team have lost each of their last 5 Super League 2025 matches, but the last three defeats came when they lost back-to-back away fixtures to Yunnan Yukun FC and Guangxi Hengchen, and were beaten 1-0 at home by Dalian Young Boy FC.
This Meizhou Hakka vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers prediction hinges on whether Hakka can reverse their recent struggles at home. Hakka have won only three of their seven home games this season, losing four times and conceding an average of 2.29 goals per game. They are a compact, defensive side that lacks penetration and can be over-cautious in possession. Jerome Mbekeli is their only real threat and has 4 Super League 2025 goals in 13 appearances.
Tigers are on a tear
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers are fifth with 22 points from 14 Super League 2025 fixtures, while Meizhou Hakka are 14th with just 12 points from the same number of games. Genwei, who has been at the helm since March 2021, has built a team with a solid base, a disciplined midfield and clinical finishing on the counter-attack.
In our Meizhou Hakka vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers preview, the Tigers like to sit compact, press in numbers and transition quickly on the break, which can be lethal against teams that play with a low block and lack the penetration to break them down. They have won 2 of their recent 3 away games.
Genwei’s gameplan will be to stifle Hakka
This will be a chess game between two coaches with contrasting styles and there is little to separate the teams based on the head-to-head record in the Super League 2025. In five previous meetings, both clubs have won once with three draws and the last match, at Tianjin, ended 2-2.
The Meizhou Hakka vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers betting tips suggest that Tianjin are the stronger side in the standings and have the better away record, so should be able to take a point at the very least and possibly all three. But the home side are favorites at +110 with the Tigers +205 and the draw +290.
With a bit of home advantage and the fact the visitors have failed to beat Hakka in their previous two visits, the Asian handicap or double chance markets may offer a better chance of success. Tianjin have an away goal average of 1.71 per game and have the clinical finisher in Quiles, who has scored 10 goals in 14 Super League 2025 fixtures.
The Meizhou Hakka vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers odds show the value in the ‘Yes’ price of -188 on both teams to score, making it look almost a given that there will be goals at both ends, but Hakka are not an expansive team and neither side has the quality or inclination to go for the win. One moment of brilliance from Quiles or Mbekeli may be enough to decide the match. This Meizhou Hakka vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers prediction could come down to a single moment rather than a dominant display by either side.
