Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC Best odds and tips

There is little to love about Deportivo Pasto’s style of play, but Camilo Ayala’s team are solid, organised and disciplined – a formula that has seen them climb to eighth in Colombia’s Primera A 2025 with 23 points from 15 games. Pasto are firmly in the playoff race and are favourites to beat Fortaleza on Sunday, but the -117 quote on the home side is a little short given that the visitors are 15th after taking 17 points from their first 16 games. Fortaleza are on a mini-run of two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five, but they need to keep that going to climb the table and pressure the playoff places.

Pasto’s home form has been solid, but not spectacular, with one win and two draws from their last three at Estadio Libertad. They have been mixed in their last five Primera A games, with only one win – a 1-0 home success over Aguilas Doradas. Fortaleza are more progressive and like to play football, moving the ball quickly in midfield and not afraid to take risks going forward. Deportivo Pasto are more pragmatic and like to keep their shape and hit on the counter. This could be a chess match between two coaches with very different philosophies – with the stakes high as both clubs are chasing crucial points in the Primera A.

Deportivo Pasto are the stronger of the two sides and should get the better of Fortaleza on Sunday, but the +240 about the draw looks too good to ignore given the home side’s recent record. Pasto have conceded an average of 0.88 goals per game at home while scoring 1.62 goals per game themselves, so we can see a close game with the home side edging it. Fortaleza have scored only 0.50 goals per game away from home and conceded 1.50, so they will have to improve on those numbers to get a result. Pasto’s midfielder Andres Alarcon has three goals in 14 Primera A games, making him their go-to striker. Fortaleza’s top scorer is attacking midfielder Emilio Aristizabal with three goals in 15 Primera A games, so he is their best chance of unlocking the Pasto defence. Backing Under 2.5 goals should be the best bet for this game as Pasto are very strong defensively at home and Fortaleza have struggled to score on their travels.