- Ilves have the superior form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches and a superior home record with 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in their 7 Veikkausliiga home matches.
- VPS are struggling with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 matches.
Ilves have the momentum for a home win
Ilves Tampere are deserved favorites for Monday’s Veikkausliiga match at -344 with VPS Vaasan Palloseura on the road at +1150. Although Jussi Nuorela’s men are in mid-table in sixth spot with 18 points from 14 matches, they are in the midst of a three-game losing streak and appear to be a team in decline.
Nuorela has fashioned VPS in his own image since taking over in 2021 – a compact, disciplined team that can catch any opponent on the break when they have numbers at the front after turnovers. The Finn has seen his side win three, draw one and lose three of their seven away matches in Veikkausliiga 2025, so they have been difficult to beat on the road. But the recent defeats – back-to-back home defeats to Haka (1-2) and HJK (0-2) – appear to have come about because they aren’t scoring enough.
Ilves are a very different proposition to the hosts under the leadership of Joonas Rantanen, who took charge at the start of this year. Rantanen has brought in a more attacking, front-foot philosophy with the team dominating possession and pressing to try to force errors and win the ball back in high areas. The change in strategy has worked a treat so far with Ilves in third place in Veikkausliiga 2025 with 29 points from 15 games, according to our Ilves Tampere vs VPS Vaasan Palloseura prediction.
Ilves are a free-scoring team
They have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five league games, including a dominant 4-0 away win over Haka and a solid 2-1 victory at home to FC KTP. Rantanen’s side have been very prolific at their home Tammela, averaging 2.14 goals a game, but their form is inconsistent there with one win and one loss in their last two outings. This Ilves Tampere vs VPS Vaasan Palloseura preview highlights how the home side’s scoring form could be decisive in the match.
VPS’s most dangerous player is Maissa Fall, who has the knack of finding the right time and place to pounce on the counter-attack. Maissa Fall has scored six times in 14 Veikkausliiga appearances this term, including three of his team’s last seven goals. If the visitors get the first goal here, their defensive set-up could make Ilves sweat, but they are unlikely to hold the home team off for the entire match, as reflected in the latest Ilves Tampere vs VPS Vaasan Palloseura odds.
Ilves have the better form, the stronger home record and their players know where the goal is, so we’re backing the heavy favourites to secure the win in the full-time result market. But there are good odds on an ‘Ilves win and over 1.5 goals’ bet, which seems more likely when you consider the Tampere side’s free-scoring home performance. For additional value, you can rely on the Ilves Tampere vs VPS Vaasan Palloseura betting tips and see how our Ilves Tampere vs VPS Vaasan Palloseura prediction influences your picks.
