Internazionale Milano

vs

Hellas Verona

Tips, Stats and Odds

Hellas Verona are a big price to avoid defeat at Inter Milan on Saturday evening, but the hosts are in such poor form that the visitors could just about have enough to avoid defeat at San Siro. Paolo Zanetti has made a positive start to his tenure as Verona’s head coach, making the team more compact and organised in their 3-4-2-1 or 3-4-1-2 system, absorbing pressure and hitting on the counter when they can. Isak Hien is a good leader at the back, providing the physical presence to stand up to the best Serie A attacks, while Ondrej Duda has been a good creative outlet in the centre of the park, where he has been able to dictate the play when Verona have the ball in transition. Casper Tengstedt is their most reliable finisher up front, with six goals in 22 Serie A appearances this season, but Verona have failed to win any of their last 5 Serie A games, drawing 3 and losing 2. The most recent meeting between these clubs was a 5-0 Inter Milan away win in Serie A five months ago, and the Nerazzuri are heavy favorites to repeat the result this weekend. Simone Inzaghi has done a remarkable job at Inter since June 2021, leading them to the title race every season with his proactive, two-striker 3-5-2 system, fluid attacking play and high-pressing approach.

However, Inter are not at their best right now, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 5, and 3 defeats in a row, so Verona may be able to avoid defeat at San Siro. Inter have won only 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 home games, suffering back-to-back defeats to AC Milan (0-3) and AS Roma (0-1) in their last two outings. Hellas Verona have also failed to win any of their last 2 away games, taking only 1 point from a possible 6, so Inter should have enough to win this one. Verona have conceded an average of 1.65 goals per game on the road in Serie A 2024/2025, shipping 28 in 17 away trips, and Inter have scored 2.18 goals per game and conceded 1.12 goals per game at home in Serie A. Inter are 2nd in Serie A 2024/2025 with 71 points from 34 games, and they are consistent title contenders because of their ability to dominate possession, create chances and score goals with their two-striker system. Verona are 15th with only 32 points.

Denzel Dumfries provides Inter with a lot of width and energy down the right, which is a crucial factor in their 3-5-2 system, while Lautaro Martínez is still a constant threat up front, with his movement and creativity making him a constant threat to opposition defences. Marcus Thuram has 14 Serie A goals in 31 appearances this season, and is Inter’s most reliable finisher. Inter to lead at both half-time and full-time at +120 is a big price for a team that scores an average of 2.18 goals per game at home in Serie A and concedes only 1.12 goals per game. Inter have won 2 and drawn 1 of their last 3 Serie A games against Verona, while Verona have failed to win on their last 2 visits to San Siro, so an Inter home win looks the most likely outcome.