Albirex Niigata has not won at home, while FC Tokyo has been slightly better overall in this tournament.
FC Tokyo has beaten Albirex Niigata in 3 out of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Even though Albirex Niigata is playing at home, their recent form shows more draws and losses.
Explanation
Albirex Niigata averages 3.0 total goals per home game, suggesting potential for over 2.5 goals.
Recent head-to-head games have seen at least 3 goals in 2 of the last 4 matches.
FC Tokyo's overall average of 2.0 total goals per game is close to the over threshold.
Explanation
In 50.0% of Albirex Niigata's matches, both teams have scored.
FC Tokyo has a low percentage of matches where both teams have scored, at 28.57%.
Both teams have similar scoring averages, indicating there could be goals on both sides.
Last 24 H2H matches
4
Won
4
Draw
16
Won
Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo - Match Preview
Albirex Niigata have not won in their last two home J League games
FC Tokyo are unbeaten in their last five, winning two and drawing three
FC Tokyo are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Albirex Niigata in all J League competitions (Won 2, Drawn 1)
Two very different teams
These two teams have contrasting styles that could lead to a chess match on Saturday. Albirex Niigata are a possession-based side who like to play a patient, possession-based game and are not afraid to keep the ball on the ground and build from the back.
Daisuke Kimori’s side have been better since he took over in February 2025 and the results are beginning to show. They have won two, drawn two and lost only one of their last five games in all competitions, but their only defeat came at home.
Tokyo can take the points
Rikizo Matsuhashi’s approach has been more pragmatic since his February 2025 appointment and his side have been much more difficult to break down in recent weeks.
They are unbeaten in their last five, winning two and drawing three, and have been solid on the road with a win and a draw from their last two away trips.
A win over Sanfrecce Hiroshima was a big boost and they held Kashiwa Reysol to a 1-1 draw in their last away game.
They are a little ahead of Niigata in the congested middle of the J League 2025 table with 13 points from 13 games to their hosts’ 12.
Visitors have a slight edge
The odds are heavily stacked in favour of the visitors at -153 with Albirex Niigata +425 outsiders, which seems a little bit too generous to them. Tokyo are in better form and have the edge in the head-to-head record, so they are the deserved favourites.
But with both teams lacking in the goals department, a draw at +270 looks good value and under 2.5 goals could also be a smart bet given the defensive nature of both sides.
Ken Yamura is Niigata’s leading scorer in J League 2025 with four goals in 11 appearances while Kein Sato has been Tokyo’s most consistent threat with three goals in 12 games.
Midfielders Takumi Hasegawa and Masato Morishige will be key to how this game pans out with the former orchestrating Niigata’s possession and the latter marshalling Tokyo’s defence.
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Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo who is better in the last 5 games?
Albirex Niigata has 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 loses in their last 5 games, while FC Tokyo has 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 loses in their last 5 games.
2.
Who are the top goalscorers for Albirex Niigata and FC Tokyo in J League 2025?
The best goalscorers in J League 2025 are Motoki Hasegawa for Albirex Niigata with 5 and Kein Sato for FC Tokyo with 3.
3.
Who has the best defence in this J League 2025 season between Albirex Niigata and FC Tokyo?
FC Tokyo has the best defence from J League 2025 with 17 Goals Conceded in 15 Matches and 4 Clean Sheets. On average, FC Tokyo received 1.13 Goals per match played.
4.
The last Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo. Who scored the goals?
In the last Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo the goals were scored by Kei Koizumi, Keisuke Kasai, Marcelo Ryan, Danilo