- Mito HollyHock are unbeaten in 5 league games (W4, D1), and unbeaten in 12 at home (W7, D5).
- Toyama have struggled on the road in J2 League 2025, winning only two of their 11 away trips (W2, D4, L5).
- Naoki Mori’s side have dominated the J2 League 2025 this season, currently sitting top of the table with 45 points from 22 games.
Favourite HollyHock can edge out the underdogs
The Mito HollyHock vs Kataller Toyama prediction is that HollyHock have had a stranglehold on the J2 League 2025 all season and the stats certainly back the hosts to take all three points on Saturday, but Ryo Adachi’s Toyama have improved recently and could make a game of it.
Naoki Mori’s men are -161 favourites to win this matchup as they should be, but a Toyama side who are 16th in the J2 League 2025 table and have just 22 points to show from 22 matches should not have it all their own way.
Mori, who has been in charge of Mito since May 2024, has moulded a side that play high-tempo, possession-based soccer. The team press high up the field and dominate the midfield when they have the ball.
Toyama’s form has improved lately
They have the league’s most prolific forward in Arata Watanabe, who has scored 10 goals in 22 appearances this term, but the whole team is the talisman.
The midfielder Naoki Mori has been the heartbeat of the side, controlling the play from the first whistle and making a difference at both ends of the pitch.
According to our Mito HollyHock vs Kataller Toyama preview, a 2-0 away win at Blaublitz Akita and 1-1 home draw with Tokushima Vortis have seen Mito HollyHock avoid defeat in their last two matches and go into this one in good spirits.
Kataller Toyama are certainly a better side than when Adachi took over as boss late May 2025 and he has steadied the ship with a defensive approach and two consecutive wins in their latest matches.
A 1-0 win at Vegalta Sendai four days ago was a particularly impressive result and they will arrive in Mito looking to maintain their momentum.
This Mito HollyHock vs Kataller Toyama prediction highlights that Adachi’s preferred shape is a compact one and they have been much better at frustrating opponents on the counter-attack.
Mito can win a close game
Our Mito HollyHock vs Kataller Toyama prediction is that Mori will try to dominate the game from the beginning, as usual, and Toyama will have to try and frustrate their hosts while looking for counter-attacking opportunities. If this style matchup follows the script, we can see the J2 leaders getting the upper hand in a tight game.
Toyama have the league’s top scorer in Shosei Usui, who has five in 16 this J2 campaign, but Tsubasa Yoshihira has been in fine form recently with two of the club’s four goals in their 5-game spell. Adachi’s preference is to counter quickly.
Backing the home side to force a low-scoring win makes sense to us as Mito are in great form and score and concede fewer goals than most. HollyHock are averaging 1.67 goals per game scored and 0.67 conceded at home in J2 League 2025, while Toyama average 0.73 goals scored and 1.18 goals conceded per away trip. The Mito HollyHock vs Kataller Toyama odds for under 2.5 goals are set at -136, so we expect a similar result. For punters, the best value could be found by considering different Mito HollyHock vs Kataller Toyama betting tips based on both teams’ recent form.
