- Toluca have won each of the last two Liga MX head-to-head encounters, including a 5-2 home win just four months ago Necaxa’s defensive setup is anchored by Fabricio Formiliano Alexis Vega has scored four goals across his last four appearances for Toluca, the team’s most prolific and clinical player
Toluca are the favorites to take all three points
Both Deportivo Toluca FC and Necaxa have collected 0 points in Liga MX 2025/2026 after 0 games, with Toluca in 18th place and Necaxa in 11th on the strength of tie-breaking records.
Our Deportivo Toluca FC vs Necaxa prediction is that Toluca are the strong favorites to win this game and there is good reason to back them at -153 for a home victory on Sunday.
Toluca’s style is much more proactive than their guests, who are a more pragmatic outfit.
Toluca typically plays with a proactive, structured approach, preferring controlled ball circulation and measured pressing.
Antonio Mohamed has been their coach since December 2024 and is known for his ability to get disciplined and proactive sides to play to the maximum of their abilities.
Mohamed’s recent tweaks appear to have smoothed out Toluca’s build-up play and made them more fluid in the final third, so a few goals could be on the cards here.
Necaxa lack the quality to make a mark
Necaxa have played a decent amount of football under their new boss Fernando Gago, who took charge in June and appears to have the squad playing a similar brand of pragmatic football.
The Deportivo Toluca FC vs Necaxa odds suggest Necaxa face a challenging task, as they haven’t won any of their previous three away trips to Toluca in all competitions.
Defender Fabricio Formiliano is pivotal for Necaxa’s defensive solidity.
For those seeking analysis, this Deportivo Toluca FC vs Necaxa betting tips section should help inform your selections.
He wins aerial duels.
