- UTC de Cajamarca have lost three of their last five games, drawn one and won one.
- Alianza Lima are unbeaten in their last five, winning three and drawing two.
- UTC de Cajamarca have failed to beat Alianza Lima at home in their last two attempts, with the visitors winning 1-0 in their most recent clash in Liga 1 – Clausura 2024 eight months ago.
In-form Alianza Lima face a direct opponent
In-form Alianza Lima will arrive in the Cajamarca region of Peru to face UTC de Cajamarca on Saturday with a lot on the line for both sides as they each seek to register their first points in Liga 1 – Apertura 2025. Our Utc de Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima prediction is that both teams will be extra motivated given the stakes at this stage of the competition.
3rd-placed Alianza Lima will come in the favorites here at -200, with 9th-placed UTC de Cajamarca the +550 outsiders and the draw coming in at +275, but the real value could lie elsewhere. For those looking for more insight, the Utc de Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima odds reveal a strong expectation for the visitors to take all three points.
Nestor Gorosito has done an excellent job since taking over as head coach at Alianza Lima in December, devising a compact, organized and patient 4-4-2 structure that has seen them play some terrific soccer so far this season. Gorosito's side have looked patient in possession, but also disciplined in their pressing out of possession, while they have certainly squeezed the space out of games to produce results.
In contrast, Pablo Bossi’s UTC de Cajamarca have yet to find the right balance in the early stages of his tenure and defensive solidity continues to be a big concern. The home side have a real threat in Gaspar Gentile, who will look to get forward and deliver direct play in the front, but their best bet for success this weekend is likely to come on the counter-attack and in transition. Bossi’s men have picked up just one point from their two games so far, drawing 1-1 at home to Sport Boys and losing 1-0 away at Sport Huancayo last time out. For more guidance, consider our Utc de Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima betting tips before making a decision.
Alianza Lima’s form and head-to-head advantage makes them worthy favorites
This Utc de Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima preview will focus on the recent momentum of both teams as well as statistical trends that could help bettors make informed choices.
Alianza’s recent form, head-to-head dominance and their odds of -200 in this fixture all suggest that the away side should be able to secure the win in Cajamarca, although we could easily see UTC de Cajamarca making it a tense match given their direct approach. Furthermore, another Utc de Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima prediction is that Alianza’s defensive discipline could keep the scoreline tight.
An alternative bet could be Both teams not to score, as Alianza’s solid defensive set-up should be capable of keeping UTC at bay, while the hosts are likely to struggle to create chances.
Alianza have won their last three games in all competitions and have won two and drawn their last away match, while UTC have lost one and drawn one in their home region this term.
This will be a true chess match and the side that plays the best game of chess will win, which we predict will be Alianza, but UTC’s direct, attack-minded style should keep the pressure on the champions in the second half of the match. The final Utc de Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima prediction is for a competitive fixture with Alianza’s experience proving decisive.
Jose Paolo Guerrero, who has scored three of Alianza’s last eight goals, will be their main threat, but Alejandro Hohberg’s ability to deliver accurate passes from the midfield will be key to Alianza’s success.
Central midfielders Carlos Diez is UTC’s key to attack, as he will be required to carry the team forward and provide the link between midfield and forward Gaspar Gentile’s offensive thrust.
