- Real Madrid have won their last five games against Celta de Vigo in all competitions.
- Celta de Vigo have won only three of their 16 La Liga away games this season (D4, L9).
- Real Madrid have won 13 of their 16 home La Liga games in 2024/2025 (D1, L2).
Real Madrid should have enough quality and tactical flexibility to get the better of Celta de Vigo in Sunday’s La Liga game at the Bernabeu. Carlo Ancelotti’s side have won three and lost two of their last five in all competitions and remain in serious title contention with 72 points from 33 games, sitting second in the standings. They beat Getafe 1-0 away from home last weekend before falling to FC Barcelona 3-2 after extra time. Ancelotti’s side have shown their class in many games this season and can mix possession play with a quick counter-attacking style that is well suited to home games against the top teams. The Italian boss has a few different tactical options at his disposal, but his 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1 formations have both been successful this season. The visitors will look to pack the box and frustrate the hosts, but Real’s firepower should eventually tell in this game.
Celta de Vigo are seventh in La Liga with 46 points from 33 games, some 26 points behind Real Madrid, but they are still in the hunt for a strong finish. Claudio Giráldez has done a good job since taking over in March 2024, bringing structure and determination to the side, but they have failed to win in their last three away trips to Real Madrid. The Sky Blues have had a mixed run of results recently, winning two, drawing one and losing two of their last five games. They recovered from a 4-3 defeat away to Barcelona with a 3-0 home win over Villarreal, so they could be due for a reaction on Sunday. Iago Aspas brings a wealth of experience and vision to the team and is usually a threat in transition or from set-pieces, but the danger man here will be Borja Iglesias, who has scored nine league goals, including four of Celta’s last nine.
Real Madrid have owned this fixture in recent years and beat Celta de Vigo 5-2 at home in the Copa del Rey 2024/2025 just three months ago. The odds are short for the hosts at -263, but Celta de Vigo are available at +575 and the draw at +460, which is probably too short as well. Real Madrid should be able to control the pace of this game and their technical superiority should eventually tell as Celta de Vigo’s defensive frailties are exposed. Ancelotti’s side are averaging 2.38 goals per game at home in La Liga 2024/2025 while conceding 1.00 per match, so the over 2.5 goals bet looks the best angle to take here. Arda Güler will provide the creativity and Kylian Mbappé the cutting edge in attack for Real, but Celta de Vigo can counter attack effectively and should get on the scoresheet at some point in the game.
