- Real Madrid have won 9, drawn 5 and lost only 4 of their 18 away La Liga matches in 2024-2025.
- Sevilla FC have won 5, drawn 6 and lost 6 of their 17 home La Liga matches in 2024-2025.
- Real Madrid have won two and drawn one of the three La Liga meetings with Sevilla FC this season.
Joaquín Caparrós took charge of Sevilla FC on April 13, 2025 and inherited a side that was desperate for defensive stability and survival points. Caparrós has done a solid job in tightening up the defence, but his team remain winless in five La Liga matches, drawing two and losing three, and the goals have dried up again. A 3-2 defeat at Celta Vigo, a 2-2 home draw with Leganes and a 1-0 defeat at Osasuna are the three most recent results. Dodi Lukebakio remains their most potent forward with 11 La Liga goals in 35 appearances this season, but Kike Salas has chipped in with two of their last five in the league and has a good eye for goal from deep.
Real Madrid have won three and lost two of their last five La Liga matches, but Carlo Ancelotti’s proactive changes and attacking tweaks have kept their title hopes alive. The last three have been a tale of two cities, with a 4-3 away defeat to FC Barcelona, a 3-2 home win over Celta de Vigo and a 3-2 defeat after extra time to Barcelona. Kylian Mbappé is the talisman of this Real Madrid team, as he has been since Ancelotti took charge in June 2021, and he scored 6 of Real’s 10 goals in their last five matches. He is the danger man to watch on Sunday, but Ancelotti’s side should have enough talent and depth to beat a Sevilla side that has been unconvincing at home for most of the season.
Sevilla FC have drawn their last two home games but have not yet shown enough to suggest they can beat Real Madrid. Real are the overwhelming favorites at -128 with Sevilla as big long shots at +352, so there is no value in the moneyline market. But there is enough of a return in the over 2.5 goals market to make it an attractive option, given the nature of the last three head-to-head meetings and the firepower of Real Madrid. Sevilla play in a compact 4-2-3-1 shape, which has been solid enough under Caparrós, but they lack the pace to get out of their own half quickly and are vulnerable to Madrid’s waves of attacking players. The visitors will try to dictate the pace of the game and use their extra quality to break through, while Sevilla will try to frustrate for spells and then hit on the counter-attack via the flanks.
