Atletico Nacional de Medellin vs Boyaca Chico Best odds and tips

Atletico Nacional de Medellin are the big fish in this Primera A 2025 clash with Boyaca Chico, sitting 3rd on 25 points from 13 games, while the visitors are languishing in 15th on just 13 points from 14 games. Javier Gandolfi has instilled a clear identity in Nacional since taking over in January 2025, making them a proactive, possession-based team that are quick on the counter and can be very effective in transition, usually operating in a 4-2-3-1 formation. Roberto Torres took the reins at Boyaca Chico in February 2025, focusing on defensive organization to tighten the backline.

While there is no real rivalry between these two clubs, every meeting between them is a chess match between Nacional’s attacking flair and Chico’s defensive resolve. The hosts will try to dominate the ball and dictate the pace, while the visitors will look to sit deep and try to hit on the break. Chico’s last two games have ended in back-to-back draws, but they have scored just once in their last 3 games and are in a bit of a scoring drought. Estefano Arango has scored both of those goals in their last 4 games, so he is their most likely threat. Atletico Nacional have won both of their last 2 home games and look to be back to their intimidating best, where they have scored a ferocious average of 2.33 goals per game while conceding just 0.67 in Primera A 2025.

Boyaca Chico have managed to score just 3 goals in 7 Primera A 2025 away games, an average of just 0.43 per game, which is simply not good enough for a side in a relegation fight. Jairo Molina is Chico’s top scorer with 4 goals in 14 Primera A games and will be their main attacking threat. Edwin Cardona is Nacional’s top scorer with 5 goals in 11 Primera A appearances and is the heartbeat of their team, as well as their set-piece specialist. He is a huge difference maker. Atletico Nacional are the heavy favorites here at -555, while Chico’s long shot for an upset is a massive +2200. We’re not touching that, but the under 2.5 goals market for Chico is very interesting indeed. The gulf in firepower and the home side’s solid defense should see a Nacional victory here, as it has done in 3 of the last 4 meetings.