Once Caldas vs La Equidad Best odds and tips

Once Caldas are the clear favorites to win Wednesday’s home game against La Equidad at -136, which is fair enough considering their current form, home record and superior league position. Jhon Jairo Bodmer’s visitors are a long shot at +475, but have enough about them to keep this close if they can keep things compact and hit on the counter. Hernan Herrera’s side are unbeaten in their last five games, a run that began with a 3-0 home win over America de Cali and was followed by a 2-0 away win against Union Espanola. The coach, who took over in October 2023, has instilled a real sense of structure and solidity to the side that has seen them concede just 6 goals in 7 home games in the current campaign. Once Caldas are up to 10th in the Primera A 2025 table with 20 points from 13 games and could push into playoff contention with another win here. La Equidad are struggling in 19th with just 7 points from the same number of games, so there is plenty of incentive for both sides to take the game to each other.

Bodmer has stuck to his guns and kept things compact in the middle of the park, with stalwart midfielder Pablo Lima holding the shape and protecting the back four while the wingers and striker try to counterattack. The visitors have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last five games, a run that includes a 2-1 home win over Santa Fe, but back-to-back defeats to Junior FC and Deportivo Cali. Ayron Del Valle leads La Equidad’s scoring charts with two goals in 12 league games and the forward has failed to find his best form. Once Caldas have a veteran striker in Dayro Moreno who is in razor-sharp form and has scored six goals in 13 Primera A games. Juan David Pérez provides a spark and control in the first and second wave of attacks for Once Caldas, who like to play a measured, but methodical game. La Equidad will look to frustrate the home side and pinch a goal on the counter, but we believe Once Caldas can edge this one given their home form and the superior league position of the hosts. A bet on Under 2.5 goals could also be appealing given the conservative nature of both sides and the history of this fixture, which finished 1-1 in last season’s league campaign.