
Last 18 H2H matches
Deportivo Toluca FC have been the hottest team in the Liga MX 2024/2025, winning five consecutive matches to put themselves in a strong position to challenge for the title. The Red Devils are second in the table with 35 points from 17 matches, five more than Atletico de San Luis in sixth. This matchup will be crucial to both clubs’ ambitions, with Toluca aiming to consolidate their position as second in the table and San Luis hoping to improve their playoff seeding. Antonio Mohamed has done a great job since taking over at Toluca in December 2024, instilling an aggressive, high-pressing identity on the team that has seen them win five straight games. The visitors’ 3-2 away win over Atlas, followed by back-to-back home wins over Pachuca (3-2) and Santos Laguna (2-1) have shown the quality of their attacking players and the potency of their current form.
Atletico de San Luis have had a mixed bag of results over the last five games, but their home form has been excellent, winning 7 and drawing 1 of their 8 Liga MX 2024/2025 matches at the Estadio Alfonso Lastras. Domenec Torrent, who took over in May 2024, has done well to bring structure to the team’s wide play and discipline to their play. San Luis talisman Sebastien Lamonge has scored 5 goals in 17 Liga MX 2024/2025 matches and is the team’s most creative player, using his movement and finishing ability to cause problems for the opposition. Atletico de San Luis typically play a 4-3-3 formation, with an emphasis on direct play down the flanks and counterattacks.
Toluca are the clear favorites with the bookmakers at -149, while San Luis are +400 for the win. Toluca have won the last two meetings between the clubs in Liga MX 2024/2025, including a 2-1 home win seven months ago, and are the form team heading into Thursday’s matchup. Mohamed’s team will look to take the game to San Luis, but the home team’s recent results and the visitors’ away form (W3, D3, L2 in eight away games) suggests Toluca won’t have it all their own way. San Luis have scored an average of 2.25 goals per home game and conceded an average of 0.62 goals per home game in Liga MX 2024/2025, so they have the capability to cause Toluca problems in this matchup. Toluca will edge this matchup, but San Luis’ home form suggests it won’t be easy for the visitors. Over 2.5 goals at -217 looks a good option for bettors looking for an alternative bet.
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