- Home form: Union Deportiva Almeria have won 4 of their last 5 home games in all competitions, scoring 11 goals in that run.
- Away form: Castellon are unbeaten in their last 4 away games in all competitions (Won 2, Drawn 2) and have scored 7 goals.
- Recent form: Castellon are in the better form of the two teams heading into Tuesday's game with 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 5.
Tight, open second-leg awaits in LaLiga 2 Promotion Playoffs 2025/2026
Union Deportiva Almeria are favorites to seal a spot in Spain's top-flight, but Castellon's fine form and their knack of turning up when it really matters could derail the hosts' promotion hopes in the second leg of the LaLiga 2 Promotion Playoffs 2025/2026.
Almeria outlook
UD Almeria's results have been inconsistent of late, with Rubi's men picking up just 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games in all competitions. Highlights of the period include a 1-0 home win over Real Valladolid and a 1-1 away draw at Castellon in the first leg of this playoff, but there was also a disappointing 3-1 defeat at Sporting Gijón.
Rubi has instilled his attacking philosophy in the Almeria players since taking over as head coach in July 2024, and his side are an attack-minded, high-tempo team with plenty of flair and excellent forward passing, but they do leave themselves open to counter-attacks at times.
Castellon outlook
Pablo Hernandez is a master of structure, and he has clearly got the message across to Castellon since his appointment in September 2025. They are a collective unit that presses as a team, are very solid at the back and create plenty of chances on the counterattack, particularly from wide areas.
Castellon have the tools to challenge for the win
Castellon are in good form and won't be intimidated by the occasion on Tuesday with 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 5. They also know they can cause Almeria problems having secured a 1-0 win at SD Huesca and a 2-1 home victory over Eibar during that run.
The 1-1 draw in the playoff first leg was also a very good result on the road, and given that Almeria will have to press for it here, a disciplined and compact Castellon side could nick a result.
- Castellon will come out of the blocks strong and try to make the most of their early chances as they need a result, and if they can get an early goal it could be a long evening for the hosts.
- Backing both teams to score at a low 1.46 is good enough in this spot, with over 2.5 goals coming in at a similar 1.53.
- The bookmakers have UD Almeria as narrow 2.31 favourites for the match, with Castellon a 2.99 bet and the draw at 3.64, and this could go either way.
- The last 3 H2H meetings have seen one win each and a draw, and with both teams in good shape, another close game seems likely.
