rapid are at home and they have to go for it after losing the first leg 2-1, so this is a game where they will push numbers forward from the start. that kind of game state usually favours the home side either getting the win or at least securing a draw on the night.
ried are in better form, three wins in their last five and they already have the first leg cushion. but at this venue rapid have dominated the historical head to head, 36 wins from 62 meetings, averaging 1.9 goals per game against ried in the modern era.
with rapid needing the result and playing under thorup's structured possession game, the home side should at worst draw this on the night even if ried hold on to advance on aggregate. 1x at 1.31 is the cleanest spot to back the home performance over 90 minutes.
keep it disciplined, normal stake
see y'all tomorrow for the next step.
saint-etienne had the second best home record in ligue 2 this season with 35 points, only behind champions troyes. that is the kind of home profile that holds up well in a play-off setting where every detail matters.
nice come into this in really poor form, just two points from their last three top flight games and on an eight game winless run in the league. they also lost the coupe de france final to lens 3-1 on friday, so morale and legs are not on their side. their away defensive record was joint second worst in ligue 1 with 33 conceded.
head to head leans to nice on paper but the context here is completely different, with les verts at home and motivated for promotion. 1x covers both the win and the draw at a friendly price.
keep it disciplined, normal stake
see y'all tomorrow for the next step.
crystal palace vs rayo vallecano over 1.5 goals @1.38
a european final between two sides chasing their first ever continental trophy usually opens up at some point, even when both teams start cautiously. with a group stage europa league spot on the line, neither side can sit back forever.
palace finished as the top scorers in the conference league with 25 goals, with sarr on nine and mateta carrying the physical presence up top. rayo also bring goals through alemรฃo and the pace of de frutos and garcรญa, so both attacks have shown they can deliver in this competition.
two goals across 90 minutes is a friendly line for a final like this, especially with both teams having too much attacking quality to play out a 1-0 or 0-0 type of game.
keep it disciplined, normal stake
see y'all tomorrow for the next step.
casa pia are at home and they come in with the experience of playing at this level all season. that matters in a tight play-off second leg where the first leg ended 0-0 and small details usually decide everything.
pacheco's pragmatic setup is built on a compact low block and counter attacks, which is exactly the kind of approach that holds up well in this kind of game. with cassiano up top, livolant creating, and larrazabal providing width, they have enough to hurt torreense when chances come.
torreense are confident after the cup win but they come into this off 120 minutes of extra time against sporting, so fatigue in the rio maior heat is a real factor. at 1.32 the double chance covers both the win and the draw for the home side.
keep it disciplined, normal stake
see y'all tomorrow for the next step.
a bucharest derby with everything on the line, european football for one and nothing for the other. that kind of stakes usually pushes both sides to go for it, especially in a one off final at a neutral venue.
dinamo have been solid lately under kopic, two wins and two draws in their last five with only four goals conceded and two clean sheets. but FCSB bring set piece threat and big game experience, scoring goals even when the games are tight. they edged botoศani 4-3 in extra time in the semi to get here.
derby goals also have history. across 63 meetings since the cold war the two clubs have combined for 183 goals, which is a clear pattern of these games producing on both ends. with FCSB needing to push for the result and dinamo capable of hurting them on transitions, btts at 1.62 is the cleanest spot.
keep it disciplined, normal stake
see y'all tomorrow for the next step.
rapid wien vs sv ried
rapid wien or draw @1.31
