SK Sturm Graz vs FK Austria Wien Best odds and tips

SK Sturm Graz have hit their stride at the right time in the Bundesliga Championship Group 2025 season, winning three games in a row and going unbeaten in their last five to top the table with 33 points from 26 games. Juergen Saeumel’s side have been a high-octane, high-pressing outfit since he took over as manager in November 2024 and their all-action, attack-first identity is finally paying off with the league lead. They have won two and drawn one of their last three home games and seem to be in fortress mode at the moment. Goalkeeper Jörg Siebenhandl has been a rock in the middle of the defence, but young midfielder Alexander Prass is emerging as a threat in the opposite box and driving the transitions. Otar Kiteishvili leads the line for Sturm and has two goals in his last four games.

Austria Wien are third in the Bundesliga Championship Group 2025 with 27 points from 26 games, six points behind the leaders, but they have been in inconsistent form recently. Stephan Helm has tried to tighten up the structure of his team since taking over as boss in June 2024, but they come into this game after two straight defeats – a 2-0 loss at SK Rapid Wien and a 3-1 home defeat to Red Bull Salzburg. Dominik Fitz is their main man, with one goal in his last three Bundesliga Championship Group 2025 games, and he pulls the strings from midfield, but they need to contain Sturm’s free-flowing football on Sunday. Johannes Handl is a rock at the back for Austria Wien and they will need to keep their structure to get a result in this game. They prefer a more measured approach to the game, with more ball possession, moderate tempo and positional discipline in a mid-block press.

Sturm Graz are the form team and have a strong home record in the Bundesliga Championship Group 2025, so they are rightly the favourites for this clash with Austria Wien. But the bookies have the visitors at 2.74, which seems a bit short for a side that has won only one of their last five games, while Sturm are 2.64 and the draw is 3.35 – all of which suggests this will be a close game. There is a lot of rivalry between these two sides and a lot to play for on Sunday, so we could see a tactical chess match. Austria Wien won the last head-to-head 2-0 away from home in the OFB Cup 2024/2025 and have the ability to cause an upset. Sturm Graz’s home games have averaged 2.92 goals for and 1.08 against in the Bundesliga Championship Group 2025, while Austria Wien’s away games have averaged 1.23 goals for and 1.00 against. The head-to-heads between these sides have averaged 1.4 goals when Sturm Graz have been the home side, so backing ‘Under 2.5 goals’ could be a good play.