Deportes Tolima vs Union Magdalena Santa Marta Best odds and tips

Deportes Tolima are 7th in Primera A 2025, having taken 27 points from 16 matches so far, which represents a solid start to the season in Colombia’s top flight. Ismael Rescalvo took over as manager in January 2025 and has made them a tough team to beat, particularly at home where they are unbeaten in 8 league matches, winning 6 and drawing 2. Union Magdalena Santa Marta are bottom of the table and have picked up just 8 points from their 16 matches so far, which is a poor return even by their lowly standards. Alexis Garcia took over as boss in March 2025 and has instilled greater resilience, but attacking returns remain sparse.

Tolima are the clear favourites here at 1.46, with the draw coming in at 4.1. The hosts are the superior side in all departments and should be able to take all three points with home advantage, but we feel the draw is worth a flutter here. Tolima have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches, so they are not at their best and could stumble here. Union Magdalena are winless in their last 5 Primera A matches, with 4 draws and a defeat, so they have shown a bit more resilience under Garcia, but still lack the ability to break teams down.

Tolima are best known for their structured build-up play and ability to stay compact and stingy at the back, while Union Magdalena will sit deep, stay compact and look to break with speed on the counter attack. That is a recipe for a low-scoring match and a bet on ‘under 2.5 goals’ would seem to align with Tolima’s defensive strength at home and Union Magdalena’s struggles in front of goal. Tolima have conceded just 3 goals in 8 home games in the current campaign. Union Magdalena concede an average of 1.50 goals per away match and score just 0.62 on the road, so they are vulnerable at both ends of the pitch away from Santa Marta.