Morecambe FC vs Carlisle United Best odds and tips

With Morecambe FC sitting 23rd in the League Two 2024-2025 table with 36 points from 41 games and Carlisle United bottom of the pile in 24th with 34 points from 41 matches, Saturday’s clash between these Cumbrian rivals is a battle for survival. Derek Adams’ men have built their success on a strong defensive unit and a willingness to sit deep and counter-attack, but their home record this season has been a mixed bag with six wins, four draws and ten defeats. Morecambe’s form has been mixed in their last five matches with a 2-0 win over Cheltenham and a 3-1 defeat to Grimsby Town the most recent results.

Mark Hughes took over at Carlisle in February 2025 and his side have been more adept at controlling the ball in midfield and being flexible in the way they transition between their defensive and attacking phases. The Cumbrians suffered a narrow defeat to Chesterfield in their last away game but followed that with a home win over Newport County. Their away form has been poor this season with only four wins in 20 games and they will have to improve on their average of 0.70 goals per away game if they are to get a result on Saturday.

Morecambe’s pragmatism could be the key to this game as they have a greater willingness to sit deep and play on the counter-attack, but Carlisle’s pressing game could be more effective against the hosts’ deep defensive line. The Shrimps are slight favourites for the win at 2.40, but we feel this could be a close game and we are taking the home side to edge it in a tight battle.