Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC Best odds and tips

Paris Saint-Germain are overwhelming favourites with the bookmakers to win this Ligue 1 2024-2025 fixture against rock-bottom Montpellier HSC at 1.24, and the home side are massive underdogs at 10.50. The bookies have this one right and PSG should record a routine victory in this clash of styles between two very different teams. Paris Saint-Germain have won 11, drawn four and lost just once away from home in Ligue 1 2024/2025, and Luis Enrique’s side have been the dominant force in the French top flight this season. The Spaniard has implemented a sophisticated possession-based system at the Parc des Princes since taking the helm in July 2023, and his side have reached deep into the Champions League while maintaining their usual domestic dominance. PSG’s recent form has been mixed, however, with two defeats, two draws and just one win from their last five games. However, they beat Arsenal 1-0 in the Champions League, while their other two recent results were a 2-1 defeat at Strasbourg in Ligue 1 2024-2025 and a 0-0 home draw with Arsenal.

Montpellier have no such distractions, but Zoumana Camara’s side have been in awful form since he took over in April 2025. They have failed to win either of their last two home games, which has seen morale at the club drop even further. The hosts have taken just one point from their last five matches, failing to score in a 0-0 home draw with Reims and a 1-0 away defeat to Brest, while their last game was a 5-1 mauling at Marseille. Montpellier play a direct, counter-attacking style of football, relying on their physicality and card-happy approach to disrupt the rhythm of the opposition. Jordan Ferri provides grit in midfield and can link the play between the defence and the counter-attacks, but there is a lack of quality in the final third. Arnaud Nordin is the team’s top scorer with four goals in 16 Ligue 1 2024-2025 appearances. Ousmane Dembélé is on fire for PSG with 21 goals in 28 Ligue 1 2024-2025 appearances, making him the competition's most prolific scorer. His ability to dictate the tempo of the game is a big reason why PSG have scored 2.69 goals per away game in Ligue 1 2024-2025.

Paris Saint-Germain are a much more sophisticated side than Montpellier, and their ability to retain the ball and play in the right positions should allow them to neutralise their hosts’ direct approach. Montpellier have conceded an average of 2.31 goals per game at home in Ligue 1 2024-2025, and PSG have enough quality to expose the home side’s defensive frailties on Saturday. The visitors have enough talent, but Montpellier’s card-happy approach could disrupt the game if PSG are not fully focused. However, at 1.30, the ‘goals over 2.5’ bet is a very short price, but it’s still worth a small play given the gulf in quality between these two teams.