A tale of two coaches, two styles
Both Toluca and Necaxa have started the Liga MX 2025-2026 season on 0 points, with Toluca in 18th place and Necaxa in 11th.
Head-to-head, the teams are fairly evenly matched as both are established Liga MX sides that have their own identity and style, but there is little bad blood between them.
Necaxa are the most recent side to have a change in manager with Fernando Gago starting his role in June, bringing an adaptive and pragmatic style to the squad.
Toluca’s Antonio Mohamed is well into his new role as he has been moulding disciplined, proactive teams since December 2024.
Their matchup could see an interesting contrast in styles, with Toluca dictating tempo while Necaxa waits to pounce on transition opportunities. This Deportivo Toluca FC vs Necaxa preview highlights just how tactically intriguing this clash is set to be.
Toluca’s tempo-setter is an essential cog
Deportivo Toluca FC have been involved in some thrilling matches over the past few months and with their current form, they will be expected to have a say on the outcome of any game they play. Our Deportivo Toluca FC vs Necaxa prediction is that Toluca’s midfield, a well-oiled machine with Leonardo Fernández at its base, will look to dictate the play in all areas of the pitch with his playmaking and physical prowess.
Necaxa have a different midfield function in Vicente Poggi, a ball-winner with the ability to pick up the ball and start an attack, particularly on the counter. With his midfield set up, Gago has made a difference to a backline that was leaking goals before his arrival, with Fabricio Formiliano, a strong aerial defender and organiser, organizing the backline. Taking into account the current trends, the Deportivo Toluca FC vs Necaxa odds slightly favour the home side.
Necaxa need to find goals
Fernando Gago, who recently took the helm at Necaxa, is known for getting his team to play a pragmatic brand of football, but there is enough quality in this squad to break that habit when needed.
Facundo Batista’s ability to make runs in behind and finish chances means Necaxa will always look to hit on the break.
According to this Deportivo Toluca FC vs Necaxa prediction, Toluca have been scoring plenty of goals in recent weeks with 7 in their last 4 games across all competitions, but their clinical finishing and solid organisation at the top end of the field is a big reason why they are the favourites here.
Mohamed’s men have found their feet in recent months and with the additions of Tiago Volpi’s reliable presence in goal and a number of key interventions in tight games, they are a force to be reckoned with.
Looking deeper, the Deportivo Toluca FC vs Necaxa prediction points to Toluca's dominating recent head-to-head record against Necaxa and suggests they are worth a punt at 1.65, particularly given the visitors are winless in their last 3 visits to this venue across all competitions. For those seeking an extra angle, our Deportivo Toluca FC vs Necaxa betting tips recommend backing Toluca to continue their strong home run.
