AFC Ajax vs FC Twente Best odds and tips

Ajax are the Eredivisie 2024-2025 table-toppers with 74 points from 32 games and FC Twente are fifth with 54 points from the same number of matches, so the odds makers are right to make the Amsterdam club favourites for Sunday’s clash. However, Twente have been in fine form recently and will give the hosts a run for their money in what could be a classic end-of-season matchup. The hosts are favourites to win at 1.95, but Twente are available at 4.00 to take all three points and the draw is a massive 3.35. It is true that Twente have failed to win their last two Eredivisie away matches at Ajax, but they have taken one win and a draw from their last two on the road and this fixture has been split in the last six meetings (W2, D2, L2). Ajax boss Francesco Farioli has done a great job since taking over in July 2024 to keep the club on track for the title, but they have wobbled in their last few games and were beaten 0-3 at home by NEC Nijmegen just one day ago. That result will have the Amsterdam club worried about their momentum going into this title decider, which could be decided by the result on Sunday.

Farioli has maintained the continuity of Ajax’s high-tempo, possession-based attacking style that has served them so well over the years, but they have won only two, drawn one and lost two of their last five Eredivisie matches. Twente boss Joseph Oosting has done a remarkable job since taking over in July 2023 to make his team one of the most disciplined and pragmatic sides in the league. They have built their resurgence on a strong European qualification push and they have won two in a row, beating FC Utrecht 2-0 just one day ago. FC Twente are a well-balanced side that can build up play in a structured way, but they are also a threat on the counterattack. Oosting’s side can switch from a 4-2-3-1 to a 4-3-3 formation and vice versa with ease, so they will be able to adapt to whatever Ajax throw at them.

Ajax build their play from the back in a classic 4-3-3, but their high pressing game should tempt Twente into playing on the counterattack and we think the game could be open enough for both teams to score. Ajax have conceded only 14 goals in 16 home Eredivisie matches, but Twente have scored 26 goals in 16 away games and can punish the hosts on the counterattack. Ajax’s Oliver Edvardsen is the league’s most dangerous striker with 12 goals in 25 Eredivisie appearances this campaign, but Twente’s Sem Steijn is one of the deadliest finishers in the division with 24 goals in 31 Eredivisie games this term.