Fortuna Sittard vs FC Utrecht Best odds and tips

Fortuna Sittard’s compact, reactive approach should contrast nicely with FC Utrecht’s high-tempo, possession-based style in what could be an open match on Sunday. Danny Buijs has done a fine job since taking over at Fortuna in July 2023, bringing a reactive, compact style to the club that has allowed them to punch above their weight. His tactical flexibility has allowed Fortuna to mix it with the big boys, but they have yet to win their last home Eredivisie game against FC Utrecht. Kristoffer Peterson is Fortuna’s top scorer in Eredivisie 2024/2025 with seven goals in 28 appearances, but the Swede’s impact has been more about his ability to dictate play and be a focal point of their direct play.

Fortuna Sittard have won two and lost one of their last three home games, which isn’t a bad record, but it’s not spectacular either. A scrappy 1-0 win over Willem II at home and another 1-0 win over NAC Breda show that they can dig in and hold on to wins at home, but they will need to do that against a free-scoring Utrecht side on Sunday. Ron Jans has done a fine job since taking over at Utrecht in September 2023, instilling a proactive, pressing philosophy that has seen them push for European qualification. Miguel Rodriguez leads the line with seven goals in 20 Eredivisie appearances and has scored four in the club’s last five games, helping them to score 13 goals in that sequence. Utrecht thumped Ajax 4-0 at home in their last match, but they were turned over 2-0 at FC Twente last weekend, so there is some inconsistency in their away form. They have won one, drawn one and lost one of their last three away, but have a superior record overall on the road in 2024/2025 with nine wins, six draws and one defeat.

Fortuna Sittard have conceded 24 goals in their 16 Eredivisie home fixtures this season, so there is some leakage at the back and we think both teams to score will be a popular market for this match. But with FC Utrecht averaging 2.12 goals per game on the road and conceding an average of 1.31, they have the firepower to score enough to edge out Fortuna Sittard in what should be a competitive match. FC Utrecht are rightfully favourites at 2.47, but Fortuna Sittard are overpriced at 3.10 and the draw is also too big at 3.45 given the stakes for both clubs at this late stage of the Eredivisie season. Fortuna Sittard are looking to secure a mid-table position while FC Utrecht are pushing for Europe, so we’re backing the visitors to nick it.