- NEC Nijmegen are undefeated in their last two home matches, drawing 1-1 against Willem II in their last outing.
- NAC Breda are winless in their last five Eredivisie matches (D2, L3).
- NEC Nijmegen are averaging 2.06 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per home match in Eredivisie 2024/2025.
NEC Nijmegen have been a solid, if unspectacular, Eredivisie side under Rogier Meijer since he took over in June 2020. The 13th-placed side have 37 points from 32 games, five more than 15th-placed NAC Breda (32), who are struggling to get a foothold in the division under Carl Hoefkens, appointed in July 2024. NEC are averaging 2.06 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per home match in Eredivisie 2024/2025, while NAC are averaging 0.81 goals scored per away match. The bookies have NEC as clear favourites to win this mid-table matchup at 1.80, with the draw at 3.60 and a win for the visitors a distant 4.20. Meijer’s side are more likely to come out on top because they are the better side and have the superior home record, but there is still a good case to be made for the draw here given that Breda are in desperate need of a result.
NEC are a controlled, cautious side that will try to stay compact and organised in their defensive third and discipline in central midfield, where they can get the ball forward to the pacey Vito van Crooij up front. Talisman Iván Márquez is the fulcrum of their backline, while the visitors have more of a direct, high-tempo game that will look to exploit space on quick transitions. Central midfielder Odysseus Velanas is Breda’s most creative player, capable of playing a good pass in transition or keeping the ball moving in the build-up. Up front, Elias Mar Omarsson, who has scored seven goals in 31 Eredivisie appearances, is the main goal threat, but he will need to be at his best to trouble this well-organised NEC defence.
NAC Breda have won only two of their 16 away matches in Eredivisie 2024/2025 (D3, L11), and have lost their last two, 1-3 at home to PEC Zwolle and 1-0 away at Fortuna Sittard. They have scored only 13 goals on the road this season, while NEC are averaging 2.06 per home match, so ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ looks a solid play here. NEC are undefeated in their last two home matches, drawing 1-1 against Willem II in their last outing, while Breda are winless in their last five (D2, L3). NEC’s superior home form and scoring record, plus Breda’s away struggles, suggest the hosts are the most likely winners in this match.
