PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles Almelo Best odds and tips

There is no real bad blood between PSV Eindhoven and Heracles Almelo, but the significance of the game in the context of the title race will make it a tense affair in Eindhoven on Wednesday. PSV are second in the Eredivisie 2024-2025 table with 73 points from 32 games, one point behind leaders Ajax, while Heracles are 12th with 38 points, well clear of the relegation zone, but far off the European places. Peter Bosz took over at PSV in July 2023 and has instilled a high-tempo, attacking philosophy that has seen them in the title race. PSV are full of confidence after five straight wins in the league, having smashed Fortuna Sittard 4-1 at home and then edged out Feyenoord 3-2 away in their last two outings. Bosz’s side have won 12, drawn three and lost only one of their 16 home games in the Eredivisie this season and have conceded just 14 goals in Eindhoven. Heracles have won only three, drawn four and lost nine of their 16 away fixtures in the Eredivisie this term, averaging 0.75 goals scored per game and 2.00 conceded per game.

Erwin van de Looi took over as Heracles manager last December and has made the team tougher to beat by making them compact and difficult to break down. They suffered two bad defeats recently, going down 4-1 to FC Groningen away and 4-1 to Feyenoord at home, but then bounced back to beat Willem II 2-1 away last time out. Heracles will sit deep and hope to nick a goal on the counterattack. Luka Kulenovic leads the Almelo scoring charts with nine goals in 22 league games, but Jizz Hornkamp has scored two of Heracles’ last five goals and is testing keepers regularly at the moment. PSV are 1.07 favourites to win this game and the market is right – there is a gulf in quality and form between the sides. Heracles are available at 1.86 with a +3 handicap, which suggests the market expects PSV to win by a few goals. We will take the hosts to keep their red-hot streak going and claim a vital win in this clash.

PSV have been in excellent form and have a good recent record against Heracles, winning three and drawing one of the last four meetings. PSV’s 4-3-3 system is proactive and creates lots of chances and pressure, while Heracles are likely to be deep and looking to counterattack. Joey Veerman is the engine of PSV’s play, while Ivan Perisic has scored 6 goals in their recent 5-match winning streak. Luuk de Jong is the club’s top scorer with 13 goals in 29 Eredivisie appearances this season and will be a threat. Emil Hansson brings energy and pace from wide areas for Heracles and could be a threat on the counterattack, but PSV can break the visitors down early on if they don’t get a foothold in the game. Heracles have not won on their last two trips to Eindhoven and we are taking PSV to win 3-1 at 10.00, which would match the recent scoring trends of both clubs and the head-to-head record.