Honduras can challenge Mexico
Mexico have been priced at 1.26 to win the CONCACAF Gold Cup 2025 semi-final against Honduras on Thursday with Los Catrachos coming in at 10.9 as the underdogs.
There’s no real value in backing El Tri to get to the final, but we may just find a way to side with the visitors to upset Mexico in a similar way to which they stunned the USA 2-1 in the group stage of this tournament. The latest Mexico vs Honduras prediction suggests another tight game could be on the cards.
Honduras have a proven record of giant-killing, including a 2–2 draw at Mexico’s Estadio Azteca in the 2014 World Cup qualifiers and a 2–1 victory there in the same campaign.
El Salvador’s coach has Honduras in a compact shape
Reinaldo Rueda is a veteran coach who knows the regional game inside out and he has made Honduras tough to beat by organising them to be compact and to soak up pressure in a pragmatic way. They have not always been the most attractive team to watch, but have made up for that by being effective in their play.
Honduras’ counter-attacking style will be a contrast to Mexico’s high-pressing, possession-based game, which could make this a fascinating chess match with a lot of tension and drama. Moreover, this Mexico vs Honduras preview explains why both teams' tactical setups might decide the outcome. Alberth Elis brings pace and is vital in launching counter-attacks against higher possession teams.
Anthony Lozano provides plenty of experience and composure at the other end of the pitch and has a knack for big moments against top opposition. Rueda has made them a genuine knockout-stage threat thanks to their defensive discipline and swift counter-attacks.
Lozano’s Mexico have momentum
Mexico have a terrific young coach in Jaime Lozano, who has impressed with his progressive tactics and has got Mexico playing in a manner that feels like a seamless extension.
He has a calm head in his midfield in Edson Álvarez, who brings an all-round game, including leadership and the talent to make things happen. The current Mexico vs Honduras odds reflect the strong form of Lozano’s team throughout the tournament.
Santiago Giménez is the main attacking outlet and his goals and coolness under pressure have been crucial to Mexico’s progress.
Mexico have been impressive in this Gold Cup, putting in a good performance to see off Saudi Arabia 2-0 in the quarter-finals and have defended well throughout the competition.
Our Mexico vs Honduras prediction leans towards a narrow Mexico win with both teams to score, taking into account recent form and past meetings. Additionally, our recommended Mexico vs Honduras betting tips value backing goals at both ends given the attacking threats of both sides.
