Rakow Czestochowa vs Jagiellonia Bialystok SSA Best odds and tips

Rakow Czestochowa have the form and home advantage to edge a thrilling clash with Jagiellonia Bialystok on Saturday that could have major implications for the Ekstraklasa 2024/2025 title race and the race for European places. Rakow are top of the table with 65 points from 31 games and look to be in the right place at the right time under the leadership of Marek Papszun, who has instilled a new sense of tactical discipline and attacking intent since taking charge in July 2024. Their recent form has been rock solid of late, winning their last two games, a 3-0 margin over Slask Wroclaw at home and a 2-0 scoreline against Stal Mielec. They have averaged 1.67 goals per game at home this season while conceding only 0.80 per game, so it is easy to see why the bookies have them as strong favourites for this clash at 1.70.

Jagiellonia Bialystok are only nine points behind Rakow on the table and have also enjoyed a good season under Adrian Siemieniec, who has given them an attacking identity since taking over in April 2023. The Jags have been a bit inconsistent of late, however, winning one, drawing two and losing two of their last five games. A 3-1 away defeat at Korona Kielce was followed by a 1-1 home draw with Gornik Zabrze last weekend, but they will be looking to bounce back against a side that they have never beaten. Siemieniec’s side are dangerous on the counter-attack and will look to exploit any space in behind Rakow’s wing-backs when they have the ball. Jagiellonia have scored 1.33 goals per game on their travels in Ekstraklasa 2024/2025, but have conceded 1.40 per game, so there is plenty of scope for them to be exposed at the back in this clash. Darko Churlinov has been in good form for the visitors of late, scoring two of their last five goals and providing the spark to their counter-attacking play.

The home side have a similar goal threat with Jonatan Braut Brunes, who has scored 12 times in 29 Ekstraklasa games this term, and they are just as likely to get on the scoresheet as Jagiellonia. The difference could be in the midfield where Papszun’s more structured approach should give them the edge in the end. Backing ‘Rakow to score over 1.5 goals’ looks good here given the hosts are averaging 1.67 goals per game at home and have a similar ratio over the course of the season. A home win is preferred to the draw in the result market because Jagiellonia have been inconsistent away from home, winning one and losing one of their last two.