Vitoria Guimaraes vs Farense Best odds and tips

Vitoria Guimaraes have won four of their last five matches and come into Sunday’s home match against Farense on the back of a two-game winning streak. Luis Freire took over as head coach in January 2025 and has overseen a period of tactical stability and improvement that has taken Guimaraes to fifth in the Primeira Liga with 54 points from 32 matches. They are still in the hunt for a European qualification spot, but will need to beat a Farense side that are desperate for points. The visitors are rock-bottom of the Primeira Liga in 18th place with 24 points from 32 matches and will need a miracle to avoid the drop.

Toze Marreco has had a tough job since taking over in September 2024, but he has prioritized defensive structure and counter-attack strategies that have allowed his side to grind out results. Farense come into this game in mixed form with two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five, but they have a tough trip to Guimaraes to contend with on Sunday. Guimaraes have won nine of their 16 home matches in the Primeira Liga 2024-2025 season, drawing five and losing only two. Farense have won just two of their 16 away matches in the Primeira Liga 2024-2025 season, drawing seven and losing seven.

Guimaraes are a pro-active side who like to get the ball down and play football, but they are disciplined and organised enough to break teams down methodically. Farense are more of a sit-deep-and-counter side, especially on the road, and will look to frustrate their hosts. The bookmakers have got this one spot on with Guimaraes 1.63 favourites and Farense 4.50 underdogs. The hosts should have enough quality to take all three points and continue their push for Europe, although they may need to be patient to break down the visitors. Both of the last two head-to-head meetings between the sides in the Primeira Liga have finished all square, including a 2-2 draw at Farense four months ago. With Farense’s compact style and Guimaraes’ failure to win their last home match, we’re taking the hosts to edge it.