Torpedo Moskva vs YFK Shinnik Yaroslav Best odds and tips

Torpedo Moskva will come into Sunday’s regional derby with YFK Shinnik Yaroslavl as slight favourites on the bookies, but this matchup is never a foregone conclusion. The last three meetings in the FNL have all ended in draws, including a 1-1 draw seven months ago. Torpedo are currently second on 58 points from 31 games in the 2024-2025 FNL and remain firmly in the promotion race. Oleg Kononov’s team are a pragmatic side, playing a 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1 shape and prioritising quick counter-attacks and a solid defensive block over possession. They have rediscovered their form with two wins in a row coming into this game and the 2-4 away win at FC Alania Vladikavkaz was a statement result. Aleksandr Yushin is their top scorer in the FNL with 10 goals in 27 appearances and he can be a threat up front, but the real spark comes from midfielder Yeison Guzman, who has scored three of the team’s last seven goals across the previous five matches.

YFK Shinnik Yaroslavl are mid-table in 12th spot on 35 points from 31 games in the 2024/2025 FNL. They have lost their last two games, falling at home to Chernomorets Novorossiysk and away at FC Ufa. Artem Buloychik has done a solid job since taking over as head coach in April 2025, setting his team up in a possession-based system that plays wide and tries to control the tempo. They are not the most attacking team, however, with Zakhar Fedorov their top scorer in the FNL with six goals in 28 appearances. This could be a game where Shinnik have the ball for long periods, but struggle to break down a well-organised Torpedo defence. The visitors will have to be at their best on the counter-attack to get a result, but with the home side failing to win their last two at their own ground, the draw could be a sensible play. But given the low-scoring nature of both teams and Torpedo’s strength at home, the under 2.5 goals market looks a smart alternative.