- Real Madrid have won two of the last three La Liga head-to-heads, with one draw.
- Sevilla have failed to win any of their last five La Liga games (D2, L3).
- Real Madrid have won nine of their 18 away La Liga matches this season (W9, D5, L4).
Sevilla FC have picked up just 38 points from their 35 La Liga matches in 2024-2025. Joaquín Caparrós took over as coach on April 13, 2025 and has certainly tightened up the side’s defensive structure since then, but a run of two draws and three defeats from their last five games is hardly the form of a side that needs to pick up points. Sevilla have drawn their last two home games and avoided defeat, but that is hardly the best platform to build from when you need wins. A 3-2 defeat away to Celta Vigo, a 2-2 home draw with Leganes and a 1-0 defeat at Osasuna make up their recent results, with Kike Salas stepping up to the plate with 2 goals in their last five league games, while Dodi Lukebakio remains their most prolific player with 11 goals in 35 La Liga games.
Real Madrid are sitting pretty in second place in the La Liga table with 75 points from their 35 games, a total that is a massive 37 points ahead of Sevilla FC in 16th. Carlo Ancelotti’s side have won three and lost two of their last five La Liga games, a run which has included a 4-3 away defeat to FC Barcelona, a 3-2 home win over Celta de Vigo and a 3-2 defeat after extra time against Barca. Real Madrid have won just one of their last three La Liga away games, but have lost two, which is a bit of a concern ahead of this game. However, Ancelotti’s constant tweaks and proactive approach have kept their title hopes alive, and they are likely to come out on top against a side that they thrashed 4-2 at the Bernabéu earlier this season.
Sevilla have won five, drawn six and lost six of their home games in La Liga this season, showing vulnerability in their own backyard. They will try to frustrate Real Madrid for periods on Sunday, but Ancelotti’s side have the firepower and tactical prowess to break them down eventually. Sevilla have averaged 0.94 goals per game scored and 1.24 goals per game conceded at home in La Liga this season, so they have a problem at both ends of the pitch. Real Madrid have conceded just 1.06 goals per game away from home in La Liga, so they can dominate the ball and the game in this clash.