Inter Miami CF vs Orlando City SC Best odds and tips

Inter Miami CF are the 1.63 favourites to beat Orlando City SC in Sunday’s Florida Derby, which is a touch surprising when you consider the visitors are in better form and are available at 4.90 to win the game. The two sides have won five and lost five of the ten Florida Derby games they have played out since 2015, with the other five ending all square, so it’s fair to say this is an evenly matched rivalry. The last meeting between these teams in MLS 2024 finished 0-0 and this fixture has a history of being a tense, close affair. Miami are the more star-studded team with Lionel Messi and Luis Suárez at the heart of their play, but Orlando have a very good coach and a team that can be just as tough to beat.

Javier Mascherano has done a decent job since taking over at Inter Miami in November 2024, but his team have been struggling of late, despite Messi’s best efforts. The Argentine superstar has five goals in eight MLS appearances and is a constant threat to any defence, but his team have only one win in their last five, losing four. They lost 1-3 at home to Vancouver in their last game, but beat New York Red Bulls 4-0 at home the week before. The problem with this team is that, while they can be a dream to watch when everything clicks, they can also be a nightmare when things go wrong. Luis Suarez has been the perfect foil for Messi in the Inter Miami attack, providing a hold-up option and making things happen in the final third. Mascherano has set up his team to get the ball to these two stars as much as possible, but that can leave them vulnerable to the counter attack.

Oscar Pareja has done a fantastic job at Orlando City since taking over in December 2019, creating a team that is tough to beat and capable of pulling off big results. The Lions are unbeaten in their last five games, a run that includes a 5-0 thrashing of Tampa Bay Rowdies away from home, and have one win, four draws and one defeat on the road in MLS 2025. Martín Ojeda is Orlando’s main attacking threat, with seven goals in 12 MLS appearances, and he bagged a hat-trick against New England Revolution last time out. Luis Muriel has added some bite to the attack since joining in the summer and his runs from deep can be devastating. Orlando are a balanced team that can play a possession game when they need to and press teams when they have the numbers, which is what Pareja will surely have them do against their biggest rivals. A bet on both teams to score looks a good fit for this game, given the quality in the final third of both teams and the fact that Miami have scored an average of 2.17 goals and conceded 1.50 per home match this season. Inter Miami are slight favourites for this clash, which is understandable given their home record, but Orlando are on a five-game unbeaten run and will be desperate to extend it in this derby. Our prediction is for a tense, close affair that could go either way, but we’re taking Orlando to get at least a point from the game.