- New York City FC have won three of their last five matches and enter this fixture on a 2-game winning streak.
- CF Montreal have won just one of their last five (1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats) and lost 1-2 at home to Philadelphia Union.
- New York City FC have an impressive home record in the MLS this season, winning four of five and conceding just four goals at Yankee Stadium.
New York City FC have the best home record in the MLS this season, winning four of five and conceding just four goals at Yankee Stadium. Pascal Jansen has instilled a defensive-minded, counterattacking approach on the club since taking charge in January 2025, which has seen them win their last two games 1-0. Alonso Martinez has been NYCFC’s most consistent attacking threat this term, scoring six goals in ten MLS 2025 appearances, and he has scored both of the hosts’ last two home goals. Julian Fernandez has also been a consistent goal threat for New York City FC, scoring the only goal in their 1-0 win over FC Cincinnati last time out. Prince Osei Owusu has been Montreal’s most dangerous player in the final third, but he has scored just two goals in 11 MLS appearances this term. Giacomo Vrioni has also been a threat for the visitors, but he has scored just two of Montreal’s last three goals in all competitions.
New York City FC are 1.74 favourites for Saturday’s match, while CF Montreal are 4.80 outsiders, which seems about right as the hosts have the superior head-to-head record in MLS matches and enter this fixture in much better form. New York City FC have won 3 of their last 4 matches against CF Montreal, although the Canadians won the most recent meeting between the sides 2-0 at home six months ago. This fixture has implications for the mid-table positions in the MLS 2025, with New York City FC currently 12th with 17 points from 11 games, while CF Montreal are 29th with just 3 points from as many matches.
Marco Donadel took over at Montreal in March 2025 and has done a good job of organising the squad, but the results haven’t come as quickly as the club would have hoped. They are winless in two previous trips to New York City FC, while they are also winless on the road in the 2025 MLS season, with one draw and six defeats from seven away matches. CF Montreal have scored just four goals in those seven road trips and will have to be at their best to break down NYCFC’s low block. Under 2.5 match goals looks a good option for Saturday’s game. Jansen’s side have won three of their last five, so they are expected to edge this one, but don’t expect the hosts to blow Montreal away.
