Toronto FC vs Charlotte - Match Preview
- Toronto FC have won two and lost three of their last five MLS 2025 games.
- Charlotte have lost four and won only one of their previous five MLS 2025 matches.
- The away team have lost each of their past three away matches.
Draw looks the most likely outcome
Toronto FC and Charlotte FC are closely matched teams that desperately need the points as playoff hopefuls in a congested Eastern Conference in the USA MLS 2025 season. So Saturday’s clash is unlikely to be pretty and could be a tense affair with neither side wanting to give much away, according to our Toronto FC vs Charlotte prediction.
Robin Fraser’s men are 26th in the standings with 13 points from 15 games after a season of struggle. The appointment of Fraser as head coach in January 2025 has not yet led to an upturn in results.
Toronto’s form has been a mixed bag with two wins and three losses in their last games. They thrashed Montreal 6-1 on the road between two narrow home defeats to Cincinnati (0-1) and Nashville (1-2). The Toronto FC vs Charlotte prediction takes into account that Toronto have won only once in their past four at home, where they have scored just four goals in MLS 2025 (0.50 per game).
Agyemang is Charlotte’s top marksman
Toronto FC’s home record in MLS 2025 is one win, two draws and five losses, so home advantage hasn’t helped the Reds much. Charlotte are not much better with one win, one draw and five defeats from seven away games. They are 14th in MLS 2025 with 22 points from 15 outings and are also on the fringes of the playoff zone, which makes this Toronto FC vs Charlotte prediction more intriguing.
Dean Smith has done a decent job since taking over at Charlotte in December 2023, bringing a pragmatic approach and tactical stability to a squad that is solid, but uninspiring.
The away goals stats suggest this should be a low-scoring affair with Charlotte having managed to hit the back of the net seven times on the travels in MLS 2025 (1.00 goals per game). Toronto have averaged 0.50 goals per home game, so the ‘Under 2.5 goals’ bet looks solid here given how these two have been finding the net. For more insights, our Toronto FC vs Charlotte betting tips highlight the importance of recent away and home goal averages.
Two teams with different styles should be a close game
Charlotte have a player who can finish when given the opportunity, Patrick Agyemang. Agyemang has five goals in 14 MLS 2025 games, including four in his last five appearances. Toronto’s top scorer is Bernardeschi with four in 15 games, but Theodor Corbeanu has come into his own recently with three in his last five appearances.
Agyemang’s finishing ability could be a factor here as Charlotte are a counter-attacking team that sits back in a mid or low block. They will look to be organized and spring quick counterattacks.
Toronto are more possession-based and will try to control the tempo by patiently trying to unlock the visiting defence with their width.
For those interested in the Toronto FC vs Charlotte odds, this fixture has produced two Charlotte wins, one Toronto win and one draw in their four MLS meetings. Charlotte won the last clash 3-2 at home in MLS 2024, but the visitors have failed to win in their previous two trips to Toronto. In this Toronto FC vs Charlotte preview, it’s clear that the odds are even for this game – Toronto FC 2.65, Draw 3.64, Charlotte FC 2.65 – which suggests a ‘Draw’ bet is the way to go.
