Toronto FC vs D.C. United (Washington) Best odds and tips

Toronto FC are in a rut, winless in their last 3 games and having failed to win any of their 5 home games in USA MLS 2025 (D2, L3). Fraser has tried to make Toronto FC a flexible team, capable of changing shapes, lineups and approaches depending on the matchup. It hasn’t worked so far, but there are signs of life in the form of Theodor Corbeanu, who has scored 2 of Toronto’s last 3 goals and is their biggest spark up top. Deandre Kerr has 2 goals in 5 MLS appearances and is their top scorer, but the attack has been underwhelming. D.C. United are in the midst of a 2-game winning streak, with back-to-back home wins over Colorado Rapids and Charleston Battery. Troy Lesesne has made Washington a pragmatic and balanced team since taking over in January 2024, and they have a much better identity than Toronto FC, who are all over the place.

D.C. United have conceded a massive 3.20 goals per game away from home in MLS 2025 (16 goals in 5 matches) and Toronto FC have averaged 1.5 goals per game at home against D.C. United in head-to-head clashes. However, the visitors have scored 2.0 goals per game on their visits, so this could be a tight game. Christian Benteke is the danger man for D.C. United, he has 6 goals in 10 MLS appearances, one of the most clinical finishers in the league this season. Peglow has scored 2 of D.C. United’s last 4 goals in his last 5 appearances, he’s a constant problem for defenses.

Toronto FC are 2.38 favourites for this game, but D.C. United are 3.00 and I think the value is with the visitors here. The Washington-based side have a much better recent form than Toronto FC and have superior attacking options. However, neither team has been particularly solid at the back, so an Over 2.5 goals bet could be more attractive to the punter. There’s no real rivalry between these two teams, but the contrast in approaches should make for some interesting tactical battles. Toronto FC are fluid and can change shape and tactics on the fly, while D.C. United are more traditional, happy to go direct when under pressure and with leaders like Benteke to make the most of their chances. I think this game could be close, but I’m going for a D.C. United win or draw double chance as Toronto FC’s woes continue.