CA Progreso Montevideo vs Juventud Piedras Best odds and tips

This clash of the clubs is a regional rivalry matchup and could be a bruising battle between two sides in search of stability in the middle of the table in the Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura 2025. Juventud Piedras are the favourites at 2.25, with Progreso 3.15 and the draw 3.36. Juventud Piedras have not won in their last away game against Progreso, but they are a better team than their hosts this season and come into this fixture with more form. Alejandro Larrea has been in charge of Progreso since April 2025 and has made them more solid in midfield and more patient in building up from the back, but they have won only 1, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their home league games this campaign, conceding an average of 2.14 goals and scoring only 1.00 per game. Juventud boss Diego Monarriz has taken the opposite approach since taking over in October 2024, making them a more direct and high-octane team, either in a 4-3-3 or 3-5-2 formation, that presses high and transitions quickly to attack the spaces behind the opposition’s defence when they win the ball. This will be a fascinating tactical duel between two different philosophies, with Juventud’s high press likely to test Progreso’s ability to play out from the back.

Agustin Rodriguez is Juventud’s danger man with 8 goals in 11 appearances in the Apertura 2025, topping the team’s charts, but Bruno Larregui provides the firepower and versatility to play in multiple positions, bagging 2 of their 6 goals in the last five games and providing crucial goals in tight fixtures. Agustin Moreira is Progreso’s main man up top with 3 league goals, but he has 2 of the team’s last 6 in their last 5 games, providing a spark and composure in the box when his teammates are not on the ball. Progreso have never lost to Juventud Piedras in 2 head-to-head meetings, winning once and drawing once, but their last meeting was a 2-1 home win in the Segunda Division 2023/2024. Juventud are in better form than Progreso, but their hosts have a good record against them and have been more resilient in their last 5 games, so we’re going for a narrow away win in this fixture. However, the odds are certainly in Juventud’s favour and Progreso could get a goal in this game, so the Both Teams to Score market looks like it could provide some value.