Penarol Montevideo vs Miramar Misiones Best odds and tips

Peñarol Montevideo are not having a good season and have dropped to 10th in the Liga AUF Uruguaya – Apertura 2025 after collecting just 12 points from their first ten games. Peñarol Montevideo have won two and lost three of their last five matches, and although they have some talent at their disposal, they have struggled to convert it into points. Diego Aguirre has been in charge of the club since November 2023 and has overseen a change in tactics to a more dynamic 4-2-3-1 system, but Peñarol have failed to win any of their four home games this season. Miramar Misiones are also struggling in the league, sitting 14th after 10 games, and are coming into this game on the back of a two-game losing streak after defeats to Defensor Sporting and Montevideo City Torque. Horacio Peralta has been in charge of the club since February 2025 and has helped the team become more resilient at the back, but they have conceded eight goals in four away games this season.

Peñarol are the favourites for this game at 1.45, but Miramar are not far behind at 7.50 and it could be an interesting tactical battle. Miramar Misiones will likely adopt a conservative strategy, focusing on defensive resilience and counterattack, but Peñarol’s higher tempo and pressing game could see them control the flow of the game. The hosts have only scored once in four home games this season, however, and Miramar have been better defensively since Peralta took over in February. Given both teams' scoring struggles, under 2.5 goals could be the best bet in this matchup. Peñarol won 2-0 when these sides met 12 months ago and, although the visitors will try to keep it tight, the hosts should have enough quality to nick the win. Maximiliano Silvera has scored two goals in the league for Peñarol and looks a good anytime scorer option, while Dennis Olivera, with three goals in 10 games, is Miramar’s top scorer. Leonardo Fernandez has scored two of Peñarol’s four goals in their last five games and looks a good pick for an anytime goal.