- Joined
- Jul 14, 2025
ACCA of the Day is up. Five legs from a packed slate of international friendlies, every selection backed by stats and form. 
Northern Ireland vs Guinea
Northern Ireland to Win - at 2.00
Northern Ireland are further along in their rebuild than Guinea, with 10 of their last 12 goals coming from players aged 21 or under and Michael O'Neill back as full-time international manager after stepping away from his Blackburn role. Guinea arrive without star striker Serhou Guirassy (rested) and with key absentees Kaba Sory, Aliou Balde and Aboubacar Camara out injured, while their most recent outing was a 1-0 friendly loss to Benin, lining up the home angle cleanly at 2.00.
Slovenia vs Cyprus
Slovenia to Win - at 1.40
Slovenia bring real firepower into this clash with Zan Vipotnik fresh off 25 goals for Swansea, and Andraz Sporar offering a proven backup even with Benjamin Sesko absent through a shin issue. Cyprus sit 68 places below Slovenia in the FIFA rankings (126th), have managed just 3 wins from their last 12 across all competitions and are still in a phase of integrating young players. The gap in quality and home advantage make this the cleanest anchor on the slip at 1.40.
Sweden vs Greece
BTTS: Yes - at 1.75
Sweden have failed to keep a clean sheet across all five of Graham Potter's matches in charge, shipping 11 goals in that run, and they arrive off a 3-1 defeat to Norway where they fell 3-0 behind by the 37th minute. Greece are not prolific recently but Sweden's attack carries Gyokeres and Isak threat, while the visitors need a result after one win in their last seven, making goals at both ends a clean read at 1.75.
Spain vs Iraq
Over 3.5 Goals - at 1.83
Spain head into the World Cup as one of the favourites with just one defeat in their last 28 matches (W22, D5), and although they were held 0-0 by Egypt in March, they remain a goal-rich attacking unit at home with Pedri, Olmo, Torres and an emerging Marc Pubill ready to start. Iraq scraped past Andorra 1-0 last month and are ranked 57th by FIFA, leaving them badly exposed against an elite home attack on a confidence-building opener at 1.83.
France vs Ivory Coast
BTTS: Yes - at 1.86
Ivory Coast have scored 13 goals across their last five matches and arrive on the back of friendly wins over South Korea (4-0) and Scotland (1-0), with Nicolas Pepe in elite form (3 goals, 4 assists in his final six La Liga games). France are without William Saliba and could rest several UCL winners, leaving room for a goal at the back, while their unbeaten home record in Nantes (W9, D1) means they should still score, lining up the Yes side cleanly at 1.86.
Combined Odds: 16.68
Good spread across markets, two match-winners, two BTTS Yes and one Over 3.5. Safer ground is Slovenia at home at 1.40 against a struggling Cyprus, the swing leg is Northern Ireland at 2.00 in a friendly between two young rebuilds, and the Spain vs Iraq Over 3.5 adds reliable value behind an elite home attack.
Northern Ireland vs Guinea Northern Ireland to Win - at 2.00 Northern Ireland are further along in their rebuild than Guinea, with 10 of their last 12 goals coming from players aged 21 or under and Michael O'Neill back as full-time international manager after stepping away from his Blackburn role. Guinea arrive without star striker Serhou Guirassy (rested) and with key absentees Kaba Sory, Aliou Balde and Aboubacar Camara out injured, while their most recent outing was a 1-0 friendly loss to Benin, lining up the home angle cleanly at 2.00. Slovenia vs Cyprus Slovenia to Win - at 1.40 Slovenia bring real firepower into this clash with Zan Vipotnik fresh off 25 goals for Swansea, and Andraz Sporar offering a proven backup even with Benjamin Sesko absent through a shin issue. Cyprus sit 68 places below Slovenia in the FIFA rankings (126th), have managed just 3 wins from their last 12 across all competitions and are still in a phase of integrating young players. The gap in quality and home advantage make this the cleanest anchor on the slip at 1.40. Sweden vs Greece BTTS: Yes - at 1.75 Sweden have failed to keep a clean sheet across all five of Graham Potter's matches in charge, shipping 11 goals in that run, and they arrive off a 3-1 defeat to Norway where they fell 3-0 behind by the 37th minute. Greece are not prolific recently but Sweden's attack carries Gyokeres and Isak threat, while the visitors need a result after one win in their last seven, making goals at both ends a clean read at 1.75. Spain vs Iraq Over 3.5 Goals - at 1.83 Spain head into the World Cup as one of the favourites with just one defeat in their last 28 matches (W22, D5), and although they were held 0-0 by Egypt in March, they remain a goal-rich attacking unit at home with Pedri, Olmo, Torres and an emerging Marc Pubill ready to start. Iraq scraped past Andorra 1-0 last month and are ranked 57th by FIFA, leaving them badly exposed against an elite home attack on a confidence-building opener at 1.83. France vs Ivory Coast BTTS: Yes - at 1.86 Ivory Coast have scored 13 goals across their last five matches and arrive on the back of friendly wins over South Korea (4-0) and Scotland (1-0), with Nicolas Pepe in elite form (3 goals, 4 assists in his final six La Liga games). France are without William Saliba and could rest several UCL winners, leaving room for a goal at the back, while their unbeaten home record in Nantes (W9, D1) means they should still score, lining up the Yes side cleanly at 1.86. Combined Odds: 16.68 Good spread across markets, two match-winners, two BTTS Yes and one Over 3.5. Safer ground is Slovenia at home at 1.40 against a struggling Cyprus, the swing leg is Northern Ireland at 2.00 in a friendly between two young rebuilds, and the Spain vs Iraq Over 3.5 adds reliable value behind an elite home attack.