- Joined
- Jul 14, 2025
ACCA of the Day is up. 7 legs from the Champions League play-off round, La Liga, the EFL Trophy and National South, every selection backed by stats and form.
Atlético de Madrid vs Málaga
Atlético de Madrid to Win - at 1.30
Atlético open their LaLiga campaign at the Metropolitano as 3/10 favourites against newly promoted Málaga, an implied probability above 76 percent and the shortest home price on the whole card. Málaga are out at 17/2, which tells you how the market reads the gap between a Champions League regular and a side back in the top flight for the first time in years. Shortest and cleanest anchor on the ticket at 1.30.
Celtic vs LASK
Celtic to Win - at 1.62
Celtic host LASK in the Champions League play-off first leg at Celtic Park, priced 8/13 with the Austrians out at 10/3. Celtic's home record in European qualifying has been the backbone of their run to the league phase in recent seasons and the atmosphere is a genuine factor in a first leg like this. Solid home angle at 1.62.
SK Slovan Bratislava vs Celje
SK Slovan Bratislava to Win - at 1.62
Slovan are 8/13 at Tehelné pole against a Celje side priced 10/3, an identical shape to the Celtic tie and for the same reason, home advantage in a two legged play-off. Slovan have made a habit of getting through these rounds and their coefficient and budget both sit ahead of the Slovenian champions. Home quality backs this at 1.62.
NEC vs Bodø/Glimt
Double Chance Bodø/Glimt or Draw - at 1.41
The tightest tie on the night, with NEC at 29/20 and Bodø/Glimt marginally shorter at 11/8, so the market makes the Norwegians narrow favourites even away from home. Bodø are mid season and match sharp while NEC are only a couple of Eredivisie rounds in, and that fitness edge matters in August. Covering the 5/2 draw removes the only real risk at 1.41.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Sabah
Double Chance Hapoel Be'er Sheva or Draw - at 1.30
Hapoel are 5/4 favourites with Sabah out at 15/8 and the draw at 21/10, one of the closest priced ties of the play-off round. Home advantage plus the draw covers roughly 77 percent of the implied book in a first leg where neither side will want to lose the tie early. Clean cover leg at 1.30.
Mansfield Town vs Manchester City U21
Double Chance Mansfield Town or Draw - at 1.27
Mansfield are 19/20 at Field Mill against a Manchester City under 21 side priced 2/1 in the EFL Trophy group stage. Senior league opposition against a development team in a competitive cup tie usually tells over 90 minutes, and the 13/5 draw is folded in for safety. Safe cover leg at 1.27.
Farnborough vs Chesham United
Double Chance Chesham United or Draw - at 1.31
Chesham are the 11/10 away favourites at Farnborough, who are out at 9/5 despite playing at home, an unusual shape in National South and a clear signal about the early season form gap. The 5/2 draw is covered here rather than backing the straight away win in a division that produces plenty of stalemates. Biggest price on the ticket at 1.31.
Combined Odds: 10.32
Seven European legs on a compact Wednesday card, three straight wins and four double chance covers. Atlético at 1.30 anchors the ticket against a promoted side, Celtic and Slovan Bratislava both at 1.62 carry the two biggest prices as home favourites in Champions League play-off first legs, and the Bodø/Glimt cover at 1.41 handles the only genuinely even tie of the night. All seven matches kick off Wednesday 19 August.
Atlético de Madrid vs Málaga Atlético de Madrid to Win - at 1.30 Atlético open their LaLiga campaign at the Metropolitano as 3/10 favourites against newly promoted Málaga, an implied probability above 76 percent and the shortest home price on the whole card. Málaga are out at 17/2, which tells you how the market reads the gap between a Champions League regular and a side back in the top flight for the first time in years. Shortest and cleanest anchor on the ticket at 1.30. Celtic vs LASK Celtic to Win - at 1.62 Celtic host LASK in the Champions League play-off first leg at Celtic Park, priced 8/13 with the Austrians out at 10/3. Celtic's home record in European qualifying has been the backbone of their run to the league phase in recent seasons and the atmosphere is a genuine factor in a first leg like this. Solid home angle at 1.62. SK Slovan Bratislava vs Celje SK Slovan Bratislava to Win - at 1.62 Slovan are 8/13 at Tehelné pole against a Celje side priced 10/3, an identical shape to the Celtic tie and for the same reason, home advantage in a two legged play-off. Slovan have made a habit of getting through these rounds and their coefficient and budget both sit ahead of the Slovenian champions. Home quality backs this at 1.62. NEC vs Bodø/Glimt Double Chance Bodø/Glimt or Draw - at 1.41 The tightest tie on the night, with NEC at 29/20 and Bodø/Glimt marginally shorter at 11/8, so the market makes the Norwegians narrow favourites even away from home. Bodø are mid season and match sharp while NEC are only a couple of Eredivisie rounds in, and that fitness edge matters in August. Covering the 5/2 draw removes the only real risk at 1.41. Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Sabah Double Chance Hapoel Be'er Sheva or Draw - at 1.30 Hapoel are 5/4 favourites with Sabah out at 15/8 and the draw at 21/10, one of the closest priced ties of the play-off round. Home advantage plus the draw covers roughly 77 percent of the implied book in a first leg where neither side will want to lose the tie early. Clean cover leg at 1.30. Mansfield Town vs Manchester City U21 Double Chance Mansfield Town or Draw - at 1.27 Mansfield are 19/20 at Field Mill against a Manchester City under 21 side priced 2/1 in the EFL Trophy group stage. Senior league opposition against a development team in a competitive cup tie usually tells over 90 minutes, and the 13/5 draw is folded in for safety. Safe cover leg at 1.27. Farnborough vs Chesham United Double Chance Chesham United or Draw - at 1.31 Chesham are the 11/10 away favourites at Farnborough, who are out at 9/5 despite playing at home, an unusual shape in National South and a clear signal about the early season form gap. The 5/2 draw is covered here rather than backing the straight away win in a division that produces plenty of stalemates. Biggest price on the ticket at 1.31. Combined Odds: 10.32 Seven European legs on a compact Wednesday card, three straight wins and four double chance covers. Atlético at 1.30 anchors the ticket against a promoted side, Celtic and Slovan Bratislava both at 1.62 carry the two biggest prices as home favourites in Champions League play-off first legs, and the Bodø/Glimt cover at 1.41 handles the only genuinely even tie of the night. All seven matches kick off Wednesday 19 August.