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- Jul 14, 2025
Today's ACCA of the Day brings a packed Sunday slate from World Cup 2026 Group G and H matchday two, with picks spread across goals markets and BTTS. Four legs, strong upside, and every pick has a clear data angle behind it. 
Spain vs Saudi Arabia
Under 2.5 Goals - at 2.65
Spain matches in Group H have averaged 0.0 goals per match so far, showing surprising tactical caution and a defensive structure that has kept things very tight. Saudi Arabia have managed 0.0 away goals and 0 conceded in their sole group road match (a 2-goal total), and a Spain side leaning on disciplined possession against a defensive Saudi block makes the under a real value play at 2.65.
Belgium vs Iran
BTTS: Yes - at 2.07
Belgium's matches in Group G have produced both teams scoring in 100% of cases, an elite BTTS rate in the group. Belgium have scored in all 5 of their last 5 fixtures while Iran have done the same, and the recent average across both sides sits at 3.6 total goals per match, making goals at both ends a clean read at 2.07.
Uruguay vs Cape Verde
Under 2.5 Goals - at 1.62
Uruguay's matches in Group H 2026 average 2.0 total goals, sitting comfortably under the line, and Cape Verde have scored 0 goals in the group so far. Four of Uruguay's last 5 matches finished with 2 or fewer goals (including two 1-1 and two 0-0 results), making the under the cleanest anchor on the slip at 1.62.
New Zealand vs Egypt
Over 2.5 Goals - at 2.15
New Zealand have averaged 4.0 total goals per match in this competition (2.0 scored, 2.0 conceded), and 3 of their last 5 fixtures have produced 3+ goals including a 2-2 draw and a 4-1 result. Egypt's away matches average 2.0 total goals and have produced BTTS in 100% of cases, lining the over up cleanly at 2.15.
Combined Odds: 19.11
Good spread across markets, two Under 2.5, one BTTS Yes and one Over 2.5. Safer ground is Uruguay vs Cape Verde Under 2.5 at 1.62, the swing leg is Spain vs Saudi Arabia Under 2.5 at 2.65, and the Belgium vs Iran BTTS Yes adds reliable value behind two attacking sides.
Spain vs Saudi Arabia Under 2.5 Goals - at 2.65 Spain matches in Group H have averaged 0.0 goals per match so far, showing surprising tactical caution and a defensive structure that has kept things very tight. Saudi Arabia have managed 0.0 away goals and 0 conceded in their sole group road match (a 2-goal total), and a Spain side leaning on disciplined possession against a defensive Saudi block makes the under a real value play at 2.65. Belgium vs Iran BTTS: Yes - at 2.07 Belgium's matches in Group G have produced both teams scoring in 100% of cases, an elite BTTS rate in the group. Belgium have scored in all 5 of their last 5 fixtures while Iran have done the same, and the recent average across both sides sits at 3.6 total goals per match, making goals at both ends a clean read at 2.07. Uruguay vs Cape Verde Under 2.5 Goals - at 1.62 Uruguay's matches in Group H 2026 average 2.0 total goals, sitting comfortably under the line, and Cape Verde have scored 0 goals in the group so far. Four of Uruguay's last 5 matches finished with 2 or fewer goals (including two 1-1 and two 0-0 results), making the under the cleanest anchor on the slip at 1.62. New Zealand vs Egypt Over 2.5 Goals - at 2.15 New Zealand have averaged 4.0 total goals per match in this competition (2.0 scored, 2.0 conceded), and 3 of their last 5 fixtures have produced 3+ goals including a 2-2 draw and a 4-1 result. Egypt's away matches average 2.0 total goals and have produced BTTS in 100% of cases, lining the over up cleanly at 2.15. Combined Odds: 19.11 Good spread across markets, two Under 2.5, one BTTS Yes and one Over 2.5. Safer ground is Uruguay vs Cape Verde Under 2.5 at 1.62, the swing leg is Spain vs Saudi Arabia Under 2.5 at 2.65, and the Belgium vs Iran BTTS Yes adds reliable value behind two attacking sides.