- Joined
- Jul 14, 2025
ACCA of the Day is up. 9 legs led by all five Premier League fixtures on opening Saturday, plus Serie A, La Liga, the DFB Pokal and the Championship, every selection backed by stats and form.
Hull City vs Manchester United
Under 3.5 Goals - at 1.44
United are 4/11 at the MKM Stadium with Hull out at 15/2, and the model gives the visitors a 65.6 percent win chance. The goals ceiling is the cleaner read though, because both teams to score sits at only 50.7 percent against a cautious promoted side, and under 3.5 at 4/9 is flagged as the highest confidence selection on the fixture. Shortest and cleanest anchor on the ticket at 1.44.
Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United
Both Teams to Score - at 1.70
Forest are 5/4 at the City Ground with Leeds at 21/10, and both teams to score is best priced 1.70 with a 55 percent implied chance. Forest averaged 2.2 goals per home game last season, 22 in total while conceding ten, and Leeds carry a serious attacking threat led by Dominic Calvert-Lewin. Goals angle at 1.70.
Ipswich Town vs Sunderland
Both Teams to Score - at 1.71
The tightest fixture of the round, Ipswich 13/8 and Sunderland 13/8 with barely anything between them, and both teams to score priced 1.71. Two newly established top flight sides with attacking intent and no defensive certainty, and the head to head has swung wildly with a 5-0 and a 1-0 in the last two meetings. Goals angle at 1.71.
Everton vs Crystal Palace
Both Teams to Score - at 1.75
Everton are 23/20 at Hill Dickinson with Palace at 23/10, and both teams to score is the standout at 1.75 with a 54.6 percent projection. Both sides found the net in each of the last five head to head meetings and the last four have gone over two and a half goals. Goals angle at 1.75.
Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur
Draw No Bet Brentford - at 1.75
Brentford are 11/8 at the Gtech with Tottenham 7/4 and the draw 5/2, a fixture the market rates as close to a coin flip. Draw no bet on the home side removes the stalemate risk entirely and is the recommended way in at the Asian line of 0.0. Biggest Premier League price on the slip at 1.75.
Wehen Wiesbaden vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to Win - at 1.11
DFB Pokal first round and Leverkusen are 1/9 away with Wehen Wiesbaden out at 14/1, the widest gap on the German cup card. Three divisions separate the two clubs and Leverkusen have not slipped up in this round in years. Shortest price on the ticket at 1.11.
West Ham United vs Charlton Athletic
West Ham United to Win - at 1.33
West Ham are 1/3 at the London Stadium with Charlton at 7/1, the shortest home price in the Championship round. A relegated Premier League squad against a side promoted from the third tier, and the market has priced the gap at almost 70 percent implied. Anchoring the slip cleanly at 1.33.
Inter vs Monza
Internazionale Total Goals Over 1.5 - at 1.36
Inter are 11/50 to win at San Siro with Monza at 12/1, so the team total is better value than the short match result. Inter's own goals line at 9/25 makes far more sense than the outright and they have hit two or more at home in the overwhelming majority of their Serie A matches. Team total angle at 1.36.
Espanyol vs Real Madrid
Over 2.5 Goals - at 1.71
Real Madrid are 4/9 at the RCDE Stadium under José Mourinho, back at the club after thirteen years, while Espanyol opened with a 3-0 win over Levante. Espanyol have covered the +1.25 line in five consecutive games, which points to an open contest rather than a shutout, and Madrid's away scoring rate does the rest. Over backed at 1.71.
Combined Odds: 44.01
Five Premier League legs plus four from Europe's other big cards, across six different market families. Leverkusen at 1.11 and West Ham at 1.33 anchor the ticket at the short end, the Hull vs Manchester United under 3.5 at 1.44 is the safest Premier League angle of the day, and the three opening weekend both teams to score legs at 1.70, 1.71 and 1.75 carry the biggest prices. All nine matches kick off Saturday 22 August.
Hull City vs Manchester United Under 3.5 Goals - at 1.44 United are 4/11 at the MKM Stadium with Hull out at 15/2, and the model gives the visitors a 65.6 percent win chance. The goals ceiling is the cleaner read though, because both teams to score sits at only 50.7 percent against a cautious promoted side, and under 3.5 at 4/9 is flagged as the highest confidence selection on the fixture. Shortest and cleanest anchor on the ticket at 1.44. Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United Both Teams to Score - at 1.70 Forest are 5/4 at the City Ground with Leeds at 21/10, and both teams to score is best priced 1.70 with a 55 percent implied chance. Forest averaged 2.2 goals per home game last season, 22 in total while conceding ten, and Leeds carry a serious attacking threat led by Dominic Calvert-Lewin. Goals angle at 1.70. Ipswich Town vs Sunderland Both Teams to Score - at 1.71 The tightest fixture of the round, Ipswich 13/8 and Sunderland 13/8 with barely anything between them, and both teams to score priced 1.71. Two newly established top flight sides with attacking intent and no defensive certainty, and the head to head has swung wildly with a 5-0 and a 1-0 in the last two meetings. Goals angle at 1.71. Everton vs Crystal Palace Both Teams to Score - at 1.75 Everton are 23/20 at Hill Dickinson with Palace at 23/10, and both teams to score is the standout at 1.75 with a 54.6 percent projection. Both sides found the net in each of the last five head to head meetings and the last four have gone over two and a half goals. Goals angle at 1.75. Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur Draw No Bet Brentford - at 1.75 Brentford are 11/8 at the Gtech with Tottenham 7/4 and the draw 5/2, a fixture the market rates as close to a coin flip. Draw no bet on the home side removes the stalemate risk entirely and is the recommended way in at the Asian line of 0.0. Biggest Premier League price on the slip at 1.75. Wehen Wiesbaden vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen to Win - at 1.11 DFB Pokal first round and Leverkusen are 1/9 away with Wehen Wiesbaden out at 14/1, the widest gap on the German cup card. Three divisions separate the two clubs and Leverkusen have not slipped up in this round in years. Shortest price on the ticket at 1.11. West Ham United vs Charlton Athletic West Ham United to Win - at 1.33 West Ham are 1/3 at the London Stadium with Charlton at 7/1, the shortest home price in the Championship round. A relegated Premier League squad against a side promoted from the third tier, and the market has priced the gap at almost 70 percent implied. Anchoring the slip cleanly at 1.33. Inter vs Monza Internazionale Total Goals Over 1.5 - at 1.36 Inter are 11/50 to win at San Siro with Monza at 12/1, so the team total is better value than the short match result. Inter's own goals line at 9/25 makes far more sense than the outright and they have hit two or more at home in the overwhelming majority of their Serie A matches. Team total angle at 1.36. Espanyol vs Real Madrid Over 2.5 Goals - at 1.71 Real Madrid are 4/9 at the RCDE Stadium under José Mourinho, back at the club after thirteen years, while Espanyol opened with a 3-0 win over Levante. Espanyol have covered the +1.25 line in five consecutive games, which points to an open contest rather than a shutout, and Madrid's away scoring rate does the rest. Over backed at 1.71. Combined Odds: 44.01 Five Premier League legs plus four from Europe's other big cards, across six different market families. Leverkusen at 1.11 and West Ham at 1.33 anchor the ticket at the short end, the Hull vs Manchester United under 3.5 at 1.44 is the safest Premier League angle of the day, and the three opening weekend both teams to score legs at 1.70, 1.71 and 1.75 carry the biggest prices. All nine matches kick off Saturday 22 August.