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- Jul 14, 2025
Today's ACCA of the Day brings a packed Friday slate from World Cup 2026 Group G, H and I matchday three, with picks spread across match-winners, totals and BTTS. Five legs, strong upside, and every pick has a clear data angle behind it. 
Norway vs France
Over 2.5 Goals - at 1.83
Norway have been ruthless in attack at this World Cup with a 5.0 total-goals average (scoring 4.0, conceding 1.0) and recent 4-1 and 3-1 results in the mix. France average 4.0 total goals per game with their last five all hitting 3+, and two attacking sides in a high-stakes Group I clash give the over a clean read at 1.83.
Senegal vs Iraq
Senegal to Win - at 1.30
Senegal showed clear attacking edge in their opener despite a 3-1 loss to France, with Ibrahim Mbaye and Iliman Ndiaye driving the threat. Iraq lost 4-1 at home to Norway in their opener and despite being defensively organised under Graham Arnold, they lack the cutting edge to outscore Pape Thiaw's African champions. The home angle lines up cleanly at 1.30.
Belgium vs New Zealand
Belgium to Win - at 1.22
Belgium have conceded 0 goals in away matches across Group G 2026 and remain unbeaten through their group games with two draws. New Zealand have shipped 5 goals in group play (2.5 per match) and have already taken one defeat, a profile that gets exposed against an organised Rudi Garcia side. The home win is the cleanest anchor on the slip at 1.22.
Egypt vs Iran
BTTS: Yes - at 2.09
Egypt matches in this competition have produced both teams scoring in 100% of cases, with the Pharaohs averaging 2.0 scored and conceding 1.0 per match. Iran's games show BTTS in 50% of fixtures including a 2-2 home draw, and two open sides in a do-or-die Group G match make goals at both ends a clean read at 2.09.
Saudi Arabia vs Cape Verde
Cape Verde to Win - at 2.38
Cape Verde are unbeaten in Group H with two draws (2-2 and 0-0) and have scored 2 goals across the group stage. Saudi Arabia have managed 0 away goals and conceded 4 on the road (4.0 average), a defensive collapse that lines up badly against Cape Verde's resilient setup. The visitors' attacking quality and momentum lines them up cleanly at 1.60.
Spain vs Uruguay
Spain to Win - at 1.58
Spain head into Group H matchday three needing a result to secure top spot, having shown tactical caution through the group stage but with the squad depth and quality to push for the win. Uruguay come in solid defensively but Spain's Pedri, Yamal and Oyarzabal carry enough creative threat to break down La Celeste at the Atlanta Stadium, and La Roja's elite squad under Luis de la Fuente lines them up cleanly as a value play at 2.00.
Combined Odds: 22.81
Solid mix on the slip, three match-winners, one Over 2.5 and one BTTS Yes. Belgium at 1.22 anchors the ticket against a struggling New Zealand, the Egypt vs Iran BTTS Yes at 2.09 carries the biggest price, and the Norway vs France Over 2.5 adds reliable value behind two attacking sides.
Norway vs France Over 2.5 Goals - at 1.83 Norway have been ruthless in attack at this World Cup with a 5.0 total-goals average (scoring 4.0, conceding 1.0) and recent 4-1 and 3-1 results in the mix. France average 4.0 total goals per game with their last five all hitting 3+, and two attacking sides in a high-stakes Group I clash give the over a clean read at 1.83. Senegal vs Iraq Senegal to Win - at 1.30 Senegal showed clear attacking edge in their opener despite a 3-1 loss to France, with Ibrahim Mbaye and Iliman Ndiaye driving the threat. Iraq lost 4-1 at home to Norway in their opener and despite being defensively organised under Graham Arnold, they lack the cutting edge to outscore Pape Thiaw's African champions. The home angle lines up cleanly at 1.30. Belgium vs New Zealand Belgium to Win - at 1.22 Belgium have conceded 0 goals in away matches across Group G 2026 and remain unbeaten through their group games with two draws. New Zealand have shipped 5 goals in group play (2.5 per match) and have already taken one defeat, a profile that gets exposed against an organised Rudi Garcia side. The home win is the cleanest anchor on the slip at 1.22. Egypt vs Iran BTTS: Yes - at 2.09 Egypt matches in this competition have produced both teams scoring in 100% of cases, with the Pharaohs averaging 2.0 scored and conceding 1.0 per match. Iran's games show BTTS in 50% of fixtures including a 2-2 home draw, and two open sides in a do-or-die Group G match make goals at both ends a clean read at 2.09. Saudi Arabia vs Cape Verde Cape Verde to Win - at 2.38 Cape Verde are unbeaten in Group H with two draws (2-2 and 0-0) and have scored 2 goals across the group stage. Saudi Arabia have managed 0 away goals and conceded 4 on the road (4.0 average), a defensive collapse that lines up badly against Cape Verde's resilient setup. The visitors' attacking quality and momentum lines them up cleanly at 1.60. Spain vs Uruguay Spain to Win - at 1.58 Spain head into Group H matchday three needing a result to secure top spot, having shown tactical caution through the group stage but with the squad depth and quality to push for the win. Uruguay come in solid defensively but Spain's Pedri, Yamal and Oyarzabal carry enough creative threat to break down La Celeste at the Atlanta Stadium, and La Roja's elite squad under Luis de la Fuente lines them up cleanly as a value play at 2.00. Combined Odds: 22.81 Solid mix on the slip, three match-winners, one Over 2.5 and one BTTS Yes. Belgium at 1.22 anchors the ticket against a struggling New Zealand, the Egypt vs Iran BTTS Yes at 2.09 carries the biggest price, and the Norway vs France Over 2.5 adds reliable value behind two attacking sides.