There is a fair argument that friendly scoring spikes can flatter everyone involved, because rotations, fitness levels and experiment-heavy lineups all change the picture. But at the same time, if every side in the group is at least finding the net, you have to assume there is enough attacking quality to make the matches unpredictable, and that is exactly why I think people are overconfident about who will cruise through it. Then again, once one team gets labelled the weak link, every result gets framed as proof and the whole conversation becomes less about football and more about people trying to win arguments online which is basically the modern game and I hate how much I care about it