- Joined
- Sep 17, 2025
FRIDAY/SATURDAY/SUNDAY
Spain vs Belgium
BTTS No @2.00
Norway vs England
BTTS No @1.98
Argentina vs Switzerland
Over 2.5 Goals @2.26
Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg
Malmo FF to Win @1.91
ODDS @17.09
World Cup week and every single pick on this slip is backed by proper stats, not gut feel
Spain kick things off and it's about as close to a lock as you get. they've conceded just 4 goals in their last 10 matches, an average of 0.4 per game, and in their last five they've kept the opponent at 0 in four of them (1-0, 3-0, 1-0, 4-0). only 30% of their last 10 games have seen both teams score. that defense simply isn't leaving the door open.
Norway vs England is the game of the round, Haaland against Kane in the World Cup knockout stage at Miami Stadium. England come in on 3 wins in a row with a structured, disciplined setup under Tuchel, while Norway bounced back from that 4-1 loss to France with wins over Ivory Coast and Brazil. the odds (England 2.0, Norway 3.95, draw 3.7) tell you this one's tight, and that's exactly why I'm going BTTS no. yes, Haaland and Kane are the two most reliable finishers left in the tournament, but when two tactically disciplined sides are marking each other out of the game, usually only one side breaks through, not both. England have the slight edge in momentum (4 wins and a draw in their last 5 overall), so I'm expecting a controlled game rather than a shootout.
Argentina vs Switzerland is the other side of that coin, here I want goals, not the absence of them. Argentina's games are averaging 3.4 total goals across their last 10, Switzerland are even higher at 3.5. both sides have had recent matches finish 4-5 goals deep. when two attacks this sharp meet defenses that leave gaps, over 2.5 practically writes itself.
closing the slip with Malmo FF at home against Goteborg. Malmo are averaging 2.8 goals a game at home in Allsvenskan this season and haven't lost a single home h2h against Goteborg in the last 5 meetings (2 wins, 2 draws). Goteborg are conceding 2.67 per away game, so the gap on Malmo's own turf is clear.
putting £15 on this one and enjoying that 17.09.
we ride together
World Cup week and every single pick on this slip is backed by proper stats, not gut feel
Spain kick things off and it's about as close to a lock as you get. they've conceded just 4 goals in their last 10 matches, an average of 0.4 per game, and in their last five they've kept the opponent at 0 in four of them (1-0, 3-0, 1-0, 4-0). only 30% of their last 10 games have seen both teams score. that defense simply isn't leaving the door open.
Norway vs England is the game of the round, Haaland against Kane in the World Cup knockout stage at Miami Stadium. England come in on 3 wins in a row with a structured, disciplined setup under Tuchel, while Norway bounced back from that 4-1 loss to France with wins over Ivory Coast and Brazil. the odds (England 2.0, Norway 3.95, draw 3.7) tell you this one's tight, and that's exactly why I'm going BTTS no. yes, Haaland and Kane are the two most reliable finishers left in the tournament, but when two tactically disciplined sides are marking each other out of the game, usually only one side breaks through, not both. England have the slight edge in momentum (4 wins and a draw in their last 5 overall), so I'm expecting a controlled game rather than a shootout.
Argentina vs Switzerland is the other side of that coin, here I want goals, not the absence of them. Argentina's games are averaging 3.4 total goals across their last 10, Switzerland are even higher at 3.5. both sides have had recent matches finish 4-5 goals deep. when two attacks this sharp meet defenses that leave gaps, over 2.5 practically writes itself.
closing the slip with Malmo FF at home against Goteborg. Malmo are averaging 2.8 goals a game at home in Allsvenskan this season and haven't lost a single home h2h against Goteborg in the last 5 meetings (2 wins, 2 draws). Goteborg are conceding 2.67 per away game, so the gap on Malmo's own turf is clear.
putting £15 on this one and enjoying that 17.09.
we ride together