- Central Coast are unbeaten in five matches, winning three and drawing two.
- Newcastle have lost four of their last five games, winning once.
- Central Coast have won all five of the A-League Women meetings between the clubs, with Newcastle failing to claim a single point.
Jets could be Jetsam
The Central Coast Mariners are the clear 1.58 favourites to beat Newcastle Jets, who are the 4.8 outsiders, in Saturday's A-League Women derby with the draw at 4.0. The price on the hosts does look fair enough given the contrasting form of the two sides with the Jets in worse shape, but we think there is some value to be found in the 1.57 for both teams to score and 1.55 for over 2.5 goals.
Central Coast have made a great start to the A-League Women 2026/2027, sitting top of the table on nine points from three matches while Newcastle are at the other end of the scale in ninth place on zero points from two.
Emily Husband has done a good job since taking over as Mariners coach in March 2023, developing a team that is well balanced and, on their day, can provide plenty of width with the ability to hurt opponents down the byline. Eliza Familton has been particularly impressive as the spark in the middle of their 4-2-3-1 system, which can be adjusted to provide central support for the lone striker or offer high-pressure on the wings when needed.
Mariners have the measure of the Jets
The Jets, who have lost three in a row, come into this game after being defeated at home by Perth Glory and Melbourne City and losing 1-0 at Melbourne Victory. Stephen Hoyle has brought some structure to this group, who are looking more like a 4-4-2 that are organised and able to work hard in a rather workmanlike fashion.
Newcastle will not be easy to beat if they can stick to the plan and the visitors look capable of making it a lively derby. However, the Mariners should have the edge over the full 90 minutes as long as the tempo clicks early.
Peta Trimis has also provided an attacking threat for the hosts this season, with Talia Kapetanellis their main menace in the final third with five of the team's 11 goals coming in the last five matches. Kelli Brown has been the best of a lacklustre Jets attack, scoring two of their six goals across the last five A-League Women contests.
Mariners can make it 3-0 in the head-to-head
Central Coast won the corresponding fixture 2-1 away from home nine months ago, with a home win this weekend. The odds of clear favorite at 1.58 for the match result makes the home side the obvious selection as they have won two from two in the A-League Women 2026/2027 and have only conceded once. Newcastle have lost one from one away from home in the A-League Women 2026/2027, but failed to get any points or score any goals - conceding just one themselves.
