- Cannons are 1st in NPL Victoria 2026 (51 points from 24 games), Thunder are 14th (15 points from 24).
- Head-to-head: In NPL Victoria 2026, Thunder have won 1, Cannons have won 2 and 2 have been drawn in the last 5.
- Form: Thunder are on a streak of four defeats and have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games in all competitions. Cannons have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 in all competitions.
Cannons should have the upper hand
Dandenong Thunder SC (Thunder) have won just 2, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their home fixtures in NPL Victoria 2026, averaging just 1.00 goals scored and 1.58 goals conceded per home game. Oakleigh Cannons (Cannons) have been a road machine in the same competition, remaining unbeaten away (W7, D5) and averaging a sharp 1.67 goals scored and just 0.42 goals conceded away.
Thunder's recent form has been poor, with a 0-2 home loss to Altona Magic, a 0-3 home loss to Dandenong City and a 0-3 away defeat to Preston Lions their 3 most recent results. Cannons' form has been much better, with a 1-2 home loss to South Melbourne, a 0-0 away draw with Bentleigh Greens and a 4-1 home victory over Green Gully Cavaliers their most recent 3.
We believe that Cannons will most likely win the game, but the odds are very low, at 1.12, so we are going for a draw at 8.0, with the draw at 8.0 and Under 2.5 goals at 3.0 being the value-leaning selections here.
Both teams to score looks a tough pick for this one, as Cannons have been so defensively resolute recently and BTTS-No is priced at 1.6. Cannons haven't won on either of their last 2 away days to Thunder, so there is a chance this derby-style encounter could get a bit 'sticky'.
