- Preston have won five, drawn one and lost three of their nine home matches in NPL Victoria 2026, letting in just 0.89 goals per game on average.
- Green Gully have won one, drawn three and lost six of their ten away matches in NPL Victoria 2026, shipping 2.00 goals per match on average.
- Preston have won all three of the last three meetings between the sides, including a 4-0 victory away three months ago.
Sizzling Preston look the pick of the bunch
Preston Lions have been the pick of the team in NPL Victoria 2026 so far with 42 points from 21 games putting them 2nd in the table, compared to Green Gully Cavaliers' 14th placed 14 points from 22 matches.
It looks like being Preston's game to lose on Friday, and the odds certainly back that up with the hosts 1.28 and Green Gully 8.45. While the home side's odds are certainly short, Gully's price looks more appealing, if you fancy an outside shot.
Lupce Acevski has kept his team compact and sharp, with Preston built to hit fast and hit hard on the break, but also to be organised and tough to break down. They have won four and drawn one of their last five and have won their last two on the bounce.
Gully have been less consistent, but the last five suggest they have the capacity to cause an upset on Friday if they can keep Preston at arm's length. Andy Vargas' side have bounced back from a 1-3 home defeat to Altona Magic with a 3-1 win at home to Dandenong Thunder SC and a 0-0 home draw with Dandenong City.
Head-to-head suggests a home win
The head-to-head in NPL Victoria 2026 is one-way traffic with Preston having won all three of the teams' meetings so far in 2026, including a 4-0 trouncing at Green Gully's home three months ago.
While Preston have more than enough about them to edge past Gully in this clash, Vargas has his side set up to be compact and disciplined above all else, which could see this game swing in the other direction if they nick one on the break.
An over 2.5 goals bet at 1.57 appeals here as an option for Preston's front foot style, but BTTS Yes at 1.9 also has a bit of bite considering Gully could nick one on the break.
Nahuel Bonada has been Preston's danger man, hitting two of the team's three goals in the sides' last five.
