- St George City FA are 14th in the NPL New South Wales 2026 (31 points from 26 games).
- Rockdale Ilinden FC are 5th in the NPL New South Wales 2026 (40 points from 26 games).
- St George City FA have won two of their last three matches, going into this one on the back of a two-match winning streak.
Stick with the favourites - but keep it close
While Rockdale are the slight favourites ahead of this one, there are enough points to lean against for us to take the game in our predictions and make it a close contest.
St George City are the team in the better form, having won two of their last three and coming into this game on the back of a pair of wins. However, Rockdale have won four of the last five matches, with the other ending in a draw.
St George City's home record is a decent one in the NPL New South Wales 2026, but they lack consistency, winning six, drawing three and losing five of 14 matches, so they can sting the visitors, but they're unlikely to be able to get the three points.
Rockdale's away record in the NPL New South Wales 2026 reads seven wins, two draws and four defeats, while they're scoring at an average of 1.92 goals per game on the road and conceding at an average of 1.23. Their recent form has tailed off a little, however, with two games without a win, a 1-3 home defeat to Sutherland Sharks and a 1-1 draw with Manly United. They'll need to get out of their rut quickly.
Rockdale are 1.91 favourites for Saturday's game, St George City are 3.4 and the draw is coming in at 3.5, a big price for a draw that both sides will surely be targeting.
Rockdale's superior league position, head-to-head record and away form point to a win for the visitors, but the fact that St George City have picked up a bit of form and are capable of winning home games makes us think this could be a close game.
We're going to go with a Rockdale win, but it will probably take a low-scoring game to secure it. The two main selections, Under 2.5 goals at 1.93 and Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.67, match the odds, but also suit the clash of styles of the sides, which are polar opposites, with St George's Mirko Jurjilj usually setting up in a 5-3-2 or a 3-5-2 system which is based around a low defensive block, wing backs and counter punches, while Paul Dee's Rockdale prefer a more control-based 4-2-3-1 formation in which they press high and probe the half spaces.
The clash of these two styles and the fact that set pieces and transitions will likely play a huge role in determining the winner, lead us to believe that this is likely to be a hard-fought game.
