- Waterford have won four and drawn one of their last five Premier Division 2026 fixtures, while Dundalk have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five.
- Waterford have won three of the last five head-to-head fixtures in the Premier Division 2026, including a 3-2 win at Dundalk two months ago.
- Waterford have won their last three home games to nil.
Side with the Blues at the RSC
Fourth-placed Dundalk travel to eighth-placed Waterford in the Premier Division 2026 on Friday in a match that promises to be tight and tough for the Lilywhites, despite the hosts being a short-ish price to beat them.
The Blues have 32 points from 29 matches and sit eighth in the Irish top-flight table, while Dundalk have 40 points after 29 games, making them narrow favourites at 71/50 to take the win. Waterford are 79/50 to repeat their 3-2 success from the reverse fixture two months ago and the draw, at 27/10, is probably a touch of an underdog.
That's because Waterford are flying right now. They are unbeaten in five with four wins and one draw and have won back-to-back matches ahead of Dundalk's visit to the RSC. Graham Coughlan has made them a tough nut to crack since taking over on 6th May 2026 and they will not give much away in this fixture, as it will be their territory-versus-transition gameplan.
Lilywhites will look to lock Dundalk in
Ciaran Kilduff's side like to get on the front foot and play with tempo, pressing teams high up the pitch and locking them into their half in an attempt to get at them early. Dundalk average 1.53 goals scored on the road, conceding 1.80, but they have been stronger away than at home, taking one win from their last two away matches to keep their push for the top four in the standings alive.
The Lilywhites are the better team and look to have that extra bit of quality in Daryl Horgan, who has 10 goals in 28 Premier Division 2026 appearances, and 14-goal Tom Lonergan is Waterford's equivalent as their main man up front. Benny Couto has been in the groove for the hosts with three assists in their last five, while Padraig Amond has scored four of the team's nine goals in this sequence.
So there is enough momentum behind Waterford to keep this game on the boil and with Dundalk in the habit of making things happen, both teams to score at 11/25 looks the stronger angle. Over 2.5 goals at 53/100 fits a game which should be open and transition-heavy, but Dundalk's away record of four wins, seven draws and four defeats from 15 matches - compared to Waterford's 4-7-3 home record from 14 - sees them favour the draw.
