- Joined
- Jul 14, 2025
Today's ACCA of the Day brings a packed Thursday slate from UEFA Champions League, Europa League and Conference League qualifying rounds. Five legs, strong upside, and every pick has a clear data angle behind it. 
KuPS Palloseura vs Universitatea Craiova
KuPS Palloseura or Draw (1X) - at 1.72
KuPS have been solid at home this season scoring 2.25 goals per game, while Craiova arrive with just 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their 4 away games in all competitions (1.25 scored, 1.75 conceded per game). Craiova's opener was a 5-1 hammering at Dinamo Bucuresti, and the double chance backs KuPS to at least earn a draw at home at 1.72.
FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik
FC Thun to Win - at 1.40
FC Thun have scored 12 goals in their last 5 home matches (2.4 per game), showing elite home attack. Their last 5 home games averaged 5.2 total goals (26 in 5), and across the last 10 they have scored 19 goals (1.9 per game). This firepower gives them a clear edge at home in a European qualifier at 1.40.
FC PAOK Thessaloniki vs RSC Anderlecht
BTTS: Yes - at 1.78
Anderlecht have seen both teams score in 9 of their last 10 matches (90%), an elite BTTS profile, and 4 of 4 away matches saw goals at both ends. PAOK's home matches have hit BTTS in 4 of 6 recent home games, and two attacking sides in a knockout tie make goals at both ends a clean read at 1.78.
Hearts of Midlothian FC vs SL Benfica
SL Benfica to Win - at 1.20
Benfica have won 6 of their last 10 matches and are 4-1-1 in their last 6 home matches, and their away trip to Hearts should follow a similar script with Benfica scoring 19 goals in their last 6 home matches (3.17 average) and Hearts conceding 2.17 goals per away. The elite Portuguese side anchors the slip cleanly at 1.20.
CFR 1907 Cluj vs Tromso IL
Tromso IL Over 0.5 Team Goals - at 1.29
Tromso have scored 6 times in their last 5 competitive away games, showing they can nick chances on the road. Heine Aasen Larsen has 4 of Tromso's 13 goals in the last 5, and Tromso's direct, wide-attacking 4-3-3 setup should find at least one clear chance against CFR. The Over 0.5 team total lines up cleanly at 1.29.
Combined Odds: 6.64
Solid mix on the slip, two match-winners, one double chance, one BTTS Yes and one team total over. SL Benfica at 1.20 anchors the ticket, the PAOK vs Anderlecht BTTS Yes at 1.78 carries the biggest price, and the FC Thun win at 1.40 adds reliable value backed by elite home scoring.
KuPS Palloseura vs Universitatea Craiova KuPS Palloseura or Draw (1X) - at 1.72 KuPS have been solid at home this season scoring 2.25 goals per game, while Craiova arrive with just 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their 4 away games in all competitions (1.25 scored, 1.75 conceded per game). Craiova's opener was a 5-1 hammering at Dinamo Bucuresti, and the double chance backs KuPS to at least earn a draw at home at 1.72. FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik FC Thun to Win - at 1.40 FC Thun have scored 12 goals in their last 5 home matches (2.4 per game), showing elite home attack. Their last 5 home games averaged 5.2 total goals (26 in 5), and across the last 10 they have scored 19 goals (1.9 per game). This firepower gives them a clear edge at home in a European qualifier at 1.40. FC PAOK Thessaloniki vs RSC Anderlecht BTTS: Yes - at 1.78 Anderlecht have seen both teams score in 9 of their last 10 matches (90%), an elite BTTS profile, and 4 of 4 away matches saw goals at both ends. PAOK's home matches have hit BTTS in 4 of 6 recent home games, and two attacking sides in a knockout tie make goals at both ends a clean read at 1.78. Hearts of Midlothian FC vs SL Benfica SL Benfica to Win - at 1.20 Benfica have won 6 of their last 10 matches and are 4-1-1 in their last 6 home matches, and their away trip to Hearts should follow a similar script with Benfica scoring 19 goals in their last 6 home matches (3.17 average) and Hearts conceding 2.17 goals per away. The elite Portuguese side anchors the slip cleanly at 1.20. CFR 1907 Cluj vs Tromso IL Tromso IL Over 0.5 Team Goals - at 1.29 Tromso have scored 6 times in their last 5 competitive away games, showing they can nick chances on the road. Heine Aasen Larsen has 4 of Tromso's 13 goals in the last 5, and Tromso's direct, wide-attacking 4-3-3 setup should find at least one clear chance against CFR. The Over 0.5 team total lines up cleanly at 1.29. Combined Odds: 6.64 Solid mix on the slip, two match-winners, one double chance, one BTTS Yes and one team total over. SL Benfica at 1.20 anchors the ticket, the PAOK vs Anderlecht BTTS Yes at 1.78 carries the biggest price, and the FC Thun win at 1.40 adds reliable value backed by elite home scoring.